by The NFLW Team | 10-02-2015 17:00
by Will Strome, Staff Writer, NFLWeather.com | 10-02-2015 12:00
Hurricane Joaquin could potentially disrupt an NFC East divisional bout bringing roaring winds and rain on Sunday when the Washington Redskins host the Philadelphia Eagles. According to NFLWeather.com, rain and 15-20 mph winds will be swirling around a soaked FedEx Field on Sunday with temperatures lingering in the high-60s. Joaquin is expected to hit the East Coast late Saturday or early Sunday and could ultimately turn a drizzle into a downpour, casting uncertainty onto NFL game plans, fantasy football line-ups and point spreads.
It doesn’t help that FedEx Field is notorious for having one of the league’s worst playing surfaces in recent years. This is the very same grass surface that was responsible for Robert Griffin III’s catastrophic knee injury. Each of the last two seasons the Redskins have considered having to re-sod the field, finally doing it in 2013.
When Mother Nature gets as ugly as the sod, so does the Washington (1-2) offense. In three rain games since 2012 according to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, the ‘Skins offense averages only nine points per game for an 0-3 record.
Quarterback Kirk Cousins started one of the three losses, a 20-6 defeat to the New York Giants where Cousins finished 19-for-49 for 169 yards and two interceptions. Only once has Cousins dropped back 49 times or more and that was last week, ironically, against the Giants in yet another loss, 32-21.
With only one rain game under his belt, Cousins shouldn’t be expected to carry the weight of the offense on his shoulders. Since 2012, Washington averages about 20 carries in weather-impacted matchups but if the ‘Skins have any chance of picking up their first rain game win since November of 2011, Alfred Morris and rookie Matt Jones will need to find some seems in the Philadelphia front seven.
The Redskins RB duo shouldn’t have much trouble establishing the run against a Philly defense that has surrendered 454 rushing yards over their last three weather related games, all of which ended in defeats. During that dismal 0-3 run in the rain, the D allowed on average over 28 points and failed to force a single turnover.
In order to have any chance of picking up a muddy road win, the Eagles (1-2) need to get the ground game going early and often. Since 2012, Philly is 3-3 in rain games but 3-0 when the running backs tally 30 or more touches. After a solid outing last week, Ryan Matthews should get a decent number of touches behind Demarco Murray with Darren Sproles sprinkled in occasionally.
Like Washington, the Eagles need to take pressure off Sam Bradford who only has one rain game to his name. In a 2012 loss to New England, Bradford fought through the rain with a 22-for-33 for 205 yards performance. He also tossed one TD and one pick.
According to USA Today Sports, the NFL is considering postponing or even moving the game to Ford Field in Detroit. If the matchup indeed plays out in Landover, the toughest opposition might be battling the nature elements to avoid a 1-3 start.
by The NFLW Team | 10-01-2015 16:00
Thursday Night Football! Cloudy with a chance of showers!
by Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 09-30-2015 00:00
It’s doubtful that a little rain in Pittsburgh on Thursday night will alleviate any animosity in this bitter rivalry when the Steelers host the winless Baltimore Ravens.
According to NFLWeather.com, Western PA is expecting an off and on drizzle with a high of around 53° and seven mph winds to the north come game time. Scattered showers will be rolling down from Buffalo, through the area prior to kickoff, and on to Washington D.C. so Heinz Field’s typically worn down grass surface should be even worse on Thursday night.
Pittsburgh’s already played one rain game this season and it went miserably. The opening regular season game of the NFL season saw last year’s AFC North champions get downed in New England, 28-21, with kicker Josh Scobee missing two 40+ yard field goals and the Pats’ passing attack dissecting the Pittsburgh secondary.
But, the Steelers (2-1) rebounded the following week and are typically a tough team to beat in weather-impacted games, posting an impressive 8-2 record since 2012 and 6-1 at home. When hosting in the rain, the Steelers offense averages almost 25 points per game.
However, it’s hard to forecast the Steelers offensive game plan this week with Michael Vick lining up under center. According to USA Today Sports, Ben Roethlisberger will miss a few weeks after suffering a left knee injury during last week’s 12-6 win at St. Louis. With Big Ben down, Vick is in but the veteran southpaw has been forced to fight through the natural elements a number of times since 2012.
In the rain, Vick is 2-3 over the last three seasons and his touchdown-to-interception ratio is a solid 5:1. In four of those five games, Vick dropped back 30 or more times and racked up over 190 yards in each. After watching Big Ben toss 38 attempts against the Pats in the rain, expect pass-heavy Pittsburgh to continue airing out the pigskin unless a heavy downpour looms. In which case, we know that Vick can run the ball.
The Baltimore Ravens (0-3) haven’t played in a rain game since 2013 and are 1-2 over the last three seasons.
Baltimore, like Pittsburgh, clearly does not let Mother Nature dictate the offensive play calling. In a trio of rain games, Flacco dropped back 38 times or more and threw for over 245 yards. Despite those mouthwatering fantasy numbers, Flacco averages two turnovers a game.
One side of Flacco’s game we can count on is his dependency on tight ends in poor weather matchups. In rain games, Flacco’s tight ends average 11 targets a game so expect Crockett Gillmore to have a big night. If he’s unable to play, rookie Maxx Williams will get the start against a defense that let Rob Gronkowski have a field day.
While both Pittsburgh and Baltimore favor the passing game, Le’Veon Bell and Justin Forsett will see the bulk of carries for their respective teams with Bell expected to catch a few balls out of the backfield. If Baltimore is going to land that elusive first win of the season, they’ll need Forsett to establish himself by grinding out hard-earned yards in the mud and take some of the pressure off a shaky Flacco who’s QBR of 46.5 is ranked 24th in the NFL.
While the weather forecast is changing daily, we know that Le’Veon Bell is in. Michael Vick is in, Ben Roethlisberger is out, and should they lose this week, the Baltimore Ravens are out.
by Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 09-25-2015 21:00
Charlotte is expecting plenty of southern storms over the weekend, both before and leading up to Sunday’s NFC South Divisional matchup when Cam Newton and the Panthers host what will be a Drew Brees-less New Orleans Saints.
According to NFLWeather.com, light rains will be in the area come kickoff but scattered showers on Saturday could really make for a muddy afternoon. Roughly 5mph of wind shouldn’t be much of a factor, but. if the drizzle turns into a downpour, Sunday’s game will get incredibly sloppy on Bank of America Stadium’s grass surface.
In 2013, these two went head-to-head in the Carolina rain when Cam Newton led a fourth quarter comeback. Newton hit Domenik Hixon in the endzone with 23 seconds left to win the game, 17-13, and clinch the team’s first playoff berth since 2008.
Given, the stakes aren’t quite as high this time around, but Cam and company are aiming for a 3-0 start to the season against a Saints side that just suffered an embarrassing loss at home to last season’s bottom-feeding Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Without Drew Brees, who according to NESN will be replaced by Luke McCown, Sunday afternoon does not look bright for New Orleans, rain or shine.
Even with a healthy Brees, the Saints have plenty of reasons to worry. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, over the last three seasons the Panthers are 2-1 in rain games and 1-0 at home. In those three matchups, the Carolina defense held opponents to only 13 points per game.
Offensively, Cam Newton has not quite been the stud we’d expect him to be in poor weather matchups with an interception in all three outings. In the win over New Orleans, he was 13-of-22 for 181 yards with one touchdown and one pick. However, in the previous two rain games prior to the Saints matchup, Cam had well over 30 passing attempts (33, 38) but recorded a dismal average QBR of 34.75.
Surprisingly, the pervious game plans haven’t really called for him to utilize his running ability. He tallied seven carries for 51 yards against Miami in 2013 but ran the ball five times or less in all other rain games. Only once since 2012 has Carolina rushed the ball more than 20 times. As expected, Jonathon Stewart will get the bulk of the Panthers carries.
New Orleans, on the other hand, is 0-3 in weather-impacted games since 2012 with a stagnant offense that’s averaged 18 points per game, well below what’s expected of that high-octane aerial attack. Defensively, the Saints surrender over 30 points per game and roughly 150 yards rushing. This is already a unit that ranks 25th overall in total defense and will likely continue their early season struggles on a damp Carolina grass field.
Fans should never write off New Orleans but it’s hard to see them slowing down a Carolina team with plenty of momentum heading into Sunday’s storm. So what was the name of that back-up Quarterback in those telephone commercials?.....Perhaps McCown is just the shot in the arm that the Saints need. They should give him a chance.
by The NFLW Team | 09-14-2015 10:00
by The NFLW Team | 09-11-2015 12:00
by The NFLW Team | 09-10-2015 21:00
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by Will Strome, Staff Writer, NFLWeather.com | 09-10-2015 09:00
With 2015 NFL season kicking off, rain is expected to threaten an early showdown between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Super Bowl Champion New England Patriots, Thursday night at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts. According to NFLWeather.com, a late summer drizzle should be rolling through the Foxborough area come kickoff.
Over the last three seasons, both teams have been dominant in weather impacted games. According to the NFLWeather.com historical analytics, New England hasn’t lost a rain game for almost three years with an impressive 5-1 record while averaging over 33 points per game. However, the Steelers have been even more commanding, posting an 8-1 record, but, averaging a full touchdown less per game with 26.5
Poor weather will lead to a last-minute game plan adjustment from two teams already without their starting running backs. Le’Veon Bell, serving a two game suspension, won’t suit up for the Steelers until week three while LeGarrette Blount will return next Sunday after serving his single game suspension.
However, neither team lets Mother Nature dictate the offensive play calling. We now know that the Pittsburgh offensive is extremely pass-heavy and in a rain or snow game, that’s no different. Over the last three seasons in nine weather-impacted games, Ben Roethlisberger has dropped back less than 30 times only twice and in one of those games he left with a shoulder injury. Excluding his early exit against Kansas City in 2012, Big Ben averages over 35 passing attempts and just under 250 yards per game. Not to mention, he’s only tossed three picks compared to his 19 touchdowns. It’s good to be “Big” when the ball is hard to grip.
The Patriots offense is arguably the most unpredictable in the league, a fantasy wild card, but it’s clear that Tom Brady throws far fewer passes in the rain compared to Big Ben Roethlisberger. The New England Patriots offense prescribes a heavier dose of ground game. The Patriots will likely use a committee of RBs featuring Brandon Bolden, Travaris Cadet and James White. Former Carolina Panther DeAngelo Williams is expected to get the bulk of the carries for Pittsburgh.
The Steelers have tallied over 30 carries in a weather impacted game only twice since 2012. The Pats hand the ball off on average 33.5 times per game. In the last three games with poor conditions dating back to December 2013, New England running backs have torched opposing defenses for 643 yards (214.3 ypg), and 10 TD’s.
But, New England’s aerial assault has done its fair share of damage as well. While Tom Brady doesn’t light up the scoreboard in the rain quite like Ben Roethlisberger, Tom Terrific protects the football. Brady tossed eight touchdowns, and like Roethlisberger, only committed three turnovers. Brady averages just under 230 yards from 34.5 passing attempts per game.
Surprisingly, in rain or snow Rob Gronkowski has seen the most targets only once during a 45-7 thrashing of St. Louis at a damp Wembley Stadium in October of 2012. According to USA Today Sports, with Julian Edelman uncertain for week one and Brandon LaFell out, Gronk should be Brady’s go-to target on Thursday Night.
If it comes down to field goals, both Pittsburgh’s Josh Scobee (3/3) and New England’s Stephen Gostkowski (3/3) have been flawless in the rain over the previous three seasons.
We’ve been hearing about DeflateGate for months now. It’s finally time to sit back and get ready for some grind-it-out football.
by The NFLW Team | 09-01-2015 12:00
by Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 08-26-2015 16:00
Half way through the NFL pre-season, the rosters are slowly taking shape as teams trim down the rosters to 53. So, how are the rookie quarterbacks performing?
Two weeks ago, NFLWeather.com broke down the top five rookie QBs who could have lined-up under center in week one. Let’s review how all five newbies held up through their first two exhibition games and in some of the best weather conditions they will see all year.
After a rocky debut against Minnesota, the former Florida State Seminole shined on Monday Night Football against Cincinnati, despite limping off the field in the second quarter. Removing Winston was merely precautionary so no need for Bucs’ fans to fret or fantasy footballers to alter their draft picks.
In pre-season game #1, the Vikings, downed Tampa Bay 26-16. Winston played the entire first half but struggled at times despite throwing for 131 yards. He fumbled two snaps, resulting in -19 yards, and tossed a pick. But the difference was night and day in Tampa’s 25-11 victory over the Bengals where Winston completed 8-of-13 attempts for 90 yards and a rushing touchdown. The first overall draft pick showcased his velocity, strength and pocket awareness that helped him flourish at the college-level.
Like Winston, the former Heisman Trophy winner was shaky in his first start but exceptional in his second. Mariota struggled against Atlanta who picked off the rookie early in the first quarter and forced a fumble that was returned for a TD on the very next series. The former Oregon Duck rebounded nicely, though, completing 7-of-8 attempts for 94 yards and orchestrating a touchdown drive following the turnovers.
Following his first game jitters, Mariota showed his poise against one of the toughest front sevens in the NFL, the St. Louis Rams. Mariota completed 5-of-8 attempts for 59 yards and would have thrown a touchdown had Dexter McCluster not dropped an easy ball in the end zone. But the real story was after the second play from scrimmage when Mariota’s headset malfunctioned. The rookie QB had to sprint to the sideline to communicate with coaches after every snap.
Geno Smith is out. Matt Flynn iss out. Ryan Fitzpatrick is expected to be the week one starter but Bryce Petty is still very much in the mix. If the rookie QB can continue to impress the coaching staff, he should be in the discussion to start. The kid is a proven winner and that’s something that’s been noticeably lacking in the Jets organization for quite some time.
In order to ensure Fitzpatrick will be healthy week one, the Jets have been limiting his Harvard’s snaps, allowing the former Baylor gunslinger has reaped the benefits. Thus far, Petty is 22-for-37 for 218 yards, one TD and zero picks in two games. Petty set the tone in New York’s 30-22 win over the Falcons by driving downfield in the opening series for a 10-play 51-yard drive to set up a field goal.
There’s a quarterback controversy in St. Louis but it doesn’t seem to include Sean Mannion. The record-setting Oregon State QB looks to be a lock for the third string spot while veterans Case Keenum and Austin Davis battle to be Nick Foles’ backup. But based on Mannion’s preseason performances, most would think he should 2nd string.
During the Rams’ dismal offensive performance in the 18-3 loss to Oakland, Mannion had a mediocre performance, going 8-of-13 for 53 yards. But his second start raised some eyebrows after a 27-14 victory over Tennessee. The former Beaver had a passer rating of 158.3 after completing 6-of-7 passes for 93-yards including a 54-yard TD strike to Malcolm Brown. Look for Mannion to move up the depth chart mid-season.
Green Bay suffered a massive blow to their passing game with the loss of Jordy Nelson for the season. But, that won’t affect Brett Hundley who will be the designated clipboard holder for the Packers this season.
Scott Tolzien will likely be Aaron Rodgers’ backup with Hundley pegged to ride the pine. In two games, the former UCLA stud completed 7-of-11 attempts for 79 yards including a 10-yard touchdown pass to John Crocket in a 22-11 win over the defending Super Bowl New England Patriots. Then again, Belichick doesn’t actually try to win the pre-season games. Get all of this week’s live forecasts at NFLWeather.com.
by Rick Saletta, NFLWeather.com | 08-22-2015 12:00
In week 2 of the pre-season, we have already seen the Washington Redskins offensive line breakdown on wet footing. The Redskins failure to hold the line line in the 2nd quarter led franchise quarterback Robert Griffin III to run the ball out of the pocket and the wet conditions led to a fumble. When Griffin tried to pounce on the fumble, he was hit by Lions defensive lineman, Corey Wooten, who landed on RGB IIIâ€™s head resulting concussion. Griffin will be evaluated by an independent neurologist before retuning to play. However, heâ€™ll return to face the Baltimore Ravens next week, not what you want for a QB coming off of even a slight concussion.
Similar wet conditions plus some wind will test Minnesota Vikings Quarterback Taylor Heinicke against the Oakland Raiders this weekend. Look for the undrafted rookie to keep throwing the ball as he sets his sights on the top spot on the Vikings depth chart.
Similar drizzle, although less wind, will be in the stadium for Nick Foles debut second game as a St. Louis Ram, playing against the Tennessee Titans. Look for Foles to see more time as Rams Coach Jeff Fisher uses the weather to pull his front line together and build some confidence in the new quarterback and starting unit.
On the other side of the field, Heismann Trophy Winner Marcus Mariota will make his Nashville debut. Mariotta just needs to protect the football after two turnovers in his first pre-season game. Holding onto the ball in wet weather, something that the former Oregon Duck is accustomed to, will do a lot for the rookie QB. The pigskin can feel a lot heavier in an NFL uniform. Get live forecasts for every NFL Game every hour at NFLWeather.com.
by By Will Strome, Staff Writer, NFLWeather.com | 08-14-2015 12:00
A pair of NFL franchise’s have their fates laying in the hands of two young, unproven rookie quarterbacks and it’s up to these rookie QBs to restore glory in Tennessee and Tampa Bay. Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston will gear up for the first full round of preseason games this weekend.
Since 2008, 15 rookie QB’s made their NFL career debuts during the first week of the regular season. Of those 15, only six were victorious. So what can we expect from both newcomers? Let’s down the top five (potentially) starting QB’s in the upcoming season….
#1: Tennessee Rain & Marcus Mariota:
As of Wednesday, August 13th, it was reported that Mariota has yet to throw an interception in Titan’s camp. Is this a meaningless statistic or an indication that the Titans franchise is finally ready to compete again in the AFC South?
Mariota was a top-shelf college quarterback in the high-octane Oregon offense where he rarely turned over the ball. Titans offensive coordinator Jason Michaels, who previously worked with Phillip Rivers in San Diego, runs a balanced attack and should be a comfortable offense for the 2014 Heisman Trophy winner.
Things get tougher for QB’s when the weather goes South but Mariota is no stranger to the elements. Having grown up in Hawaii and played collegiately in the Pacific Northwest, a wet weather offense part of the game plan. Remember the Ducks’ 51-13 thrashing of Arizona in the 2014 Pac-12 title game? On a drenched field in Santa Clara, CA, Mariota went 25-of-38 for 313 yards, threw two touchdowns and produced three on the ground. Mother Nature doesn’t slow this kid down.
#2: Tropical Storm Tampa & Jameis Winston:
Unlike Marcus Mariota, Seminole Heisman Winner Jameis Winston has an absolute cannon but his accuracy is less impressive. Early season INT’s are common for rookies so there’s no need for Bucs fans to panic. Just look at Andrew Luck’s debut back in 2012, the Colts were thumped 41-21 by the Bears and Luck threw three picks. Three years later, he’s arguably the best Quarterback in the league. Winston just needs some practice in the new offense. But, just last week the Buccaneers had to cancel an open practice due to heavy rain.
Having played at Florida State where afternoon showers are common, Winston has plenty of rain games under his belt. At FSU, Winston was exceptional when the weather took a turn for the worse. Last season, Winston went 22-for-33, 281 yards and a touchdown in a November downpour versus Boston College in Chestnut Hill. With a big frame and decent mobility, Winston can be a dangerous weapon on a soggy field.
#3: New York Slush & Bryce Petty:
With Geno Smith out for an extended period of time after getting sucker punched by his teammate, the New York Jets will take a long look at all their options before announcing a week one starter. Ryan Fitzpatrick is the heavy favorite to line up under center but don’t count out rookie QB Bryce Petty. The former Baylor University quarterback is a proven winner, posting a 21-4 career record and holding 31 school records, despite following in the footsteps of RG3.
In one of his most recent weather-impacted games, Petty and Baylor shelled Oklahoma State 49-28 on a damp and dreary evening. The rain didn’t slow Petty down at all, going 18-for-29, 262 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Despite being labeled as a raw talent, Petty could be the spark this sorry Jets team sorely needs. If not, there’s always the Mets.
#4: St. Louis Steam and Sean Mannion:
Currently third on the Rams depth chart, Sean Mannion is likely to be a long shot week one starter. St. Louis has added Nick Foles from Philadelphia who is the expected starter and Austin Davis is penciled in as the backup. But a strong camp from Mannion could earn him the right to take snaps with the second team and he could be called upon if Foles goes down for the second time in as many seasons.
The former Oregon State Beaver was a four-year starter and shattered school records during a torrential downpour against the Colorado Buffalo. Mannion threw for 414 yards, six touchdowns and set a single-season school record for his fifth 350-yard outing. Don’t expect to see this kind of production for Mannion any time soon, given the Rams play in a dome. And don’t forget, former Texan Case Keenum is also in the St. Louis QB mix.
#5: Green Bay Blizzards and Brett Hundley:
Without an injury to Aaron Rodgers, there’s a good chance Brett Hundley of UCLA won’t see the field this season. But, Hundley is the next man up in Green Bay.
As a Bruin, Hundley broke a number of school records but played in very few foul weather games in Southern California. Moving up to Green Bay will expose him to elements he rarely played through in college. But let’s not forget, Aaron Rodgers played at Cal.
NFLWeather.com is here all season long to help navigate weather-related game.
by Will Strome, NFLWeather.com | 08-08-2015 12:00
We finally made it.
The end of waiting, anticipating and reading about deflate-gate is over. The 2015-16 NFL season is upon us and this weekend is the first in a long line of preseason fixtures that most fans couldn’t care less about. But for all those insiders itching for their fantasy football fix, now is the time to take a sneak peak at all of this season’s crop of potential studs, duds and sleepers entering the 2015 campaign. And it all starts in the preseason.
As we inch towards the Hall of Fame game in Canton, OH on Sunday featuring the Pittsburgh Steelers and Minnesota Vikings, NFLWeather.com reports a beautiful mid-western summer night come kickoff. But as we know, that won’t always be the case week to week.
Looking back on 2014, NFLWeather.com analytics show 13 regular season games (excluding games reporting overcast, chance of rain or rain in vicinity) were impacted by rain, snow, or heavy fog/mist. The only team to have three regular season games affected by the outdoor elements was the Minnesota Vikings, followed by seven teams (Packers, Giants, Texans, Bears, Seahawks, Raiders, Chiefs) that battled through a pair of poor weather clashes.
According to NFLWeather.com, the climate last season didn’t start to take a turn for the worst until around Week 3 when the New York Giants hosted the Houston Texans. A light mist and fog was rolling through the area and even though the weather didn’t seem to directly impact the entire game, it did cause a major concern for the New York special teams when LS Zak DeOssie’s snap went straight thru the slippery hands of holder Steve Weatherford.
Sometimes the weather doesn’t affect the entire game, but certainly can cause glaring issues for individual players and positions. Here’s to hoping Mother Nature shows her nasty side in many more matchups in 2015 and as always, NFLWeather.com is here to preview any and all games impacted by the elements.
by The NFLW Team | 01-15-2015 17:00
Looks like rain in Seattle for the NFC Championship game between the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks.
A cold rain is forecast for the AFC Championship game in Foxboro between the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots. Not looking good for the indoor team from Lucas oil Stadium.
Stay up to the minute with the latest forecast from http://www.nflweather.com/
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by The NFLW Team | 12-20-2014 12:00
Mostly cloudy throughout the day for the Eagles versus Redskins game in Washington. Light rain in the morning and evening for the Chargers versus Niners game in San Francisco, nope, Santa Clara ;)
For up to the minute game conditions, checkout NFLWeather.com
by The NFLW Team | 12-09-2014 12:30
National Weather Service: Powerfull storm to impact the San Francisco Bay Area and Monterrey Bay Area from late Wednesday though Friday.
Click here to see the details.
by The NFLW Team | 11-21-2014 09:00
Due to the snow storm in Buffalo the sunday clash between AFC East rivals will be played in Ford Field, home of the Detroit Lions, on Monday night. The game will be played at 7PM.
"As mentioned earlier today, public safety resources in western New York must be fully available to deal with the recovery from the storm. We continue our discussions with the team and the Red Cross on ways the NFL can support the community through this weather disaster." the NFL announced.
by The NFLW Team | 11-20-2014 17:30
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said it would be "impractical" for the Buffalo Bills to host the New York Jets as scheduled on Sunday, given the heavy snow that has hit the area, the NFL will not play the game in Buffalo.
The NFL is considering Detroit, Washington D.C. and Pittsburgh. The game could be played on Monday but that is not known at this time.
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