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NFLW Picks de la semana 9

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 11-04-2016 17:00

 

Daily Fantasy

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Marcus Mariota $5,900
RB Theo Riddick $4,900
WR Allen Hurns $4,900
TE Eric Ebron $3,100

San Diego’s secondary is very beatable and I love the rushing upside to Mariota. This will give you flexibility to spend elsewhere. To go with 11 rushing attempts, Riddick also had 11 targets in the passing game. Detroit might have to play catch up here and he is a perfect back for that role. Over the last three weeks, Hurns has seen 29 targets. Garbage time points here are almost certain. Back from injury and in his first game Ebron sees 10 targets. Stafford is going to be forced to throw a ton here and why not use this player and price to  move up for a more expensive RB?

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Sam Bradford $5,000
RB Latavius Murray $4,000
WR Golden Tate $4,700
TE Jesse James $2,800

He was mediocre at best last week on the road in Chicago but Sam Bradford is very much capable of bouncing back week nine at home against a Detroit secondary that’s surrendered a league-high 19 passing TD’s. For the absolute lowest price a QB can be in daily, and over his last four games averaging 36 per outing, Bradford is the frugal buy that enables you to stack your lineup with superstars at other positions. It was evident during his absence that no one in Oakland’s backfield can quite do the job that Latavius Murray does. Denver has a tough D but Murray will still get plenty of touches and 100% of all the goalline opportunities. Golden Tate over the last few weeks has emerged as the top wideout in Detroit like we all expected. The Lions offense will have trouble on the ground against Minnesota’s front seven so expect another 40+ passing attempt game from Matthew Stafford. With Ben Roethlisberger expected to be under center, James won’t have to pass protect nearly as much as he did last week with Landry Jones under center. Ben’s new favorite redzone target will see plenty of action against Baltimore.

 

 

Pick of the Week

Matt’s Pick: NO -3 @ SF

My spidey senses say take New Orleans -3 in San Fran. The 49ers can’t even seem to stop a cold. If Tampa can storm into Santa Clara a few weeks ago and cover 2, the Saints are more than capable of doing the same. This game could get ugly quick.

 

Will’s Pick: PIT +2.5 @ BAL

Three of the last four meetings in Baltimore have come down to a field goal and as of late Thursday afternoon, all signs are pointing to Big Ben being under center for this bitter AFC North rivalry. Expect a low scoring game here but with all the offensive firepower in Pittsburgh’s offense, the pressure is on the Baltimore D to contain AB and company.


Semana 9 Sientalos / Juegalos

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 11-04-2016 16:00

 
Nick Foles Nick Foles. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Nick Foles, Dak Prescott

Foles is a high risk option if you have a QB on bye this week, but he’s not afraid to throw it deep and KC is still favored by 9. I like him here.

What a story Prescott has been all season, marching Dallas to an impressive 6-1 record. Against Cleveland’s atrocious D with zero weather concerns, Prescott will give us at least one more solid performance before the return of Tony Romo. Side note, might be a tame atmosphere if Cleveland fans still haven’t gotten over the heartbreak from Wednesday’s Game Seven.

Sit ‘em: Derek Carr, Russell Wilson

Carr was unstoppable last week against Tampa Bay, torching the Bucs for four TD’s and over 500 passing yards. But this week against Denver’s top shelf D and with rain a possibility in the East Bay, don’t expect to see last week’s numbers in this heavyweight bout between bitter division rivals.

Ok, hear me out… Yes, he is at home against the Saints, but keep this in mind... The Saints are more prone to allowing rushing TD’s in the red zone as opposed to giving it up thru the air. Temper expectations here.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Jonathan Stewart, Derrick Henry

Four TD’s in the last two games?! Ya, that’s right! Protecting Cam is clearly what’s happening here. Carolina will be moving the ball Sunday and I like Stewart’s high floor.

With DeMarco Murray nursing a hamstring injury, Henry could see a massive increase in his workload. If by some chance Murray doesn’t suit up, this week at sunny San Diego could be the former Heisman Trophy winner’s breakout game.

Sit ‘em: Todd Gurley, Frank Gore

I believe Carolina will use all of its resources to shut down Gurley. They will force Case Keenum to beat them.

On the road against a Green Bay D that on average allows less than 75 rushing yards per game, Gore will be touchdown dependent for week nine. He’ll still see over 15 touches but don’t expect a 90+ yard afternoon from the veteran back despite the favorable weather conditions.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Terrelle Pryor, Donte Moncrief

If you haven’t figured it out by now, Pryor is a must start when he’s healthy. He’s hogging all the targets, he’s getting the occasional carry and he’s even lining up under center. He’s the lone weapon in Cleveland’s offense and everything is being routed through him. Nothing will change on Sunday with clear skies expected in Cleveland.

TY is a little banged up and this game is going to be a shootout. There are plenty of opportunities here to score and seeing double digit targets is a great possibility.

Sit ‘em: Allen Robinson, Doug Baldwin

Robinson has not returned to last year’s form and now heads into Arrowhead on Sunday. KC’s defense will stifle Bortles and I see this one being a long day for Jacksonville.

At home against a Buffalo secondary that allows over 240 passing yards per game, Baldwin isn’t a terrible play but he’s not going to be the difference-maker in your fantasy lineup. There’s plenty of wideouts with high-ceilings this week and Baldwin just isn’t one of them with rain a possibility in Seattle Monday night.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Hunter Henry, Gary Barnidge

After two down games, I like Henry here at home against Tennessee with zero weather concerns. I believe this game will be a high scoring affair and if Henry gets his expected targets, he will do very well for you this week.

As defenses hone in on doubling up on Pryor, Barnidge can really thrive in the redzone with the secondary’s focus mostly on the Cleveland playmaker. A healthy Pryor only means attention is off Barnidge and the likelihood for more targets only increases.

Sit ‘em: Julius Thomas, Coby Fleener

Back to praising the KC defense here where the Chiefs are one of the best against the tight end. Look elsewhere.

Aside from only a pair of solid performances this season, the new Saints TE has been more of a disappointment than anything else. New Orleans shouldn’t have any issues moving the ball against SF but averaging only four targets a game over the last four games, Fleener just isn’t as integral a part of the NO offense as we all had hoped for.


DUELO DE LA AFC OESTE: BRONCOS VS RAIDERS

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 11-03-2016 18:00

 

Los Raiders de Oakland están preparados para jugar de local su partido mas importante en casi una decada. Sabiendo lo inconsistente que es el clima en área de la bahía, los Denver Broncos podrían estar ante una noche fría y / o húmeda, cuando el liderazgo de la AFC Oeste este en juego el domingo por la noche.

Según NFLWeather.com , las temperaturas rondaran los 50f al inicio del juego en el Coliseo de Oakland con viento mínimo. Hay actualmente alrededor de un 20% de probabilidad de precipitación, a partir del martes, pero el clima en area de la Bahía puede ser impredecible y esporádica así que a pesar que el pronóstico actual es de parcialmente nublado, hay una buena posibilidad de llovizna. Pareciera que cada temporada los Raiders juegan al menos una vez en un lodazal sobre su maltratada superficie bluegrass y es de esperar que el domingo por la noche nos va a ofrecer otra.

Mychal Rivera Mychal Rivera. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Después de esconderse en la mediocridad durante tantos años, ¿quién en su sano juicio habría pensado que Oakland estaría 6-2 en este momento? Los Raiders ocupan el quinto lugar en la liga en ofensiva total con más de 400 yardas por juego y con un promedio de más de 285 yardas por aire. Sin embargo, después de haber perdido en un juego impactado por el clima, 26-10, en Kansas City en la lluvia ; era evidente que la ofensiva estaba luchando para combatir tanto los elementos y com la defensa de los Chiefs.

Otra preocupación es que los Raiders están 3-5 en juegos de lluvia desde el año 2009, de acuerdo con los NFLWeather.com. De esos juegos, el mariscal Derek Carr ha estado bajo centro tres con un record de 1-2. Sin embargo, el mal tiempo y un poco de llovizna no son suficientes para disuadir a Carr de pasar la pelota con un promedio de al menos 36 pases en los mismos. También se las arregla para promediar al menos un touchdown por partido. Incluso con sus estadísticas de pase tab decentes, Carr estará entregando la pelota bastante a Latavius ??Murray, pero se espera que Michael Crabtree y Amari Cooper obtengan aún sus objetivos, independientemente de las condiciones de juego.

Denver (6-2) también ha jugado en un partido de lluvia esta temporada, contra los Buccaneers 27-7 después de un retardo de tiempo terriblemente largo. Durante ese triunfo como visitantes fuera de la conferencia, y a pesar de acumular 32 acarreos en total, el equipo sólo corrió para 89 yardas. Estaba claro que el plan de juego ofensivo fue quitarle presion a Trevor Siemian pero el ex QB de Northwestern se las arregló para prosperar en las condiciones de mala muerte antes de salir del juego con una lesión en el hombro. Su suplente, Paxton Lynch, entro y continuo la ofensiva de Denver con facilidad en el camino a la cuarta victoria de la temporada para Denver. Los dos mariscales de campo combinaron para 19 pases completos en 31 intentos, mientras que encontraron la zona de anotación dos veces y acumularon 218 yardas totales por pase. No está mal para un par de mariscales de campo sin experiencia.

Habiendo perdido a CJ Anderson por el resto del año, el ataque terrestre de los Broncos ahora estara a cargo de Devontae Booker. Booker, tiene un promedio de 4.3 yardas por acarreo y ha anotado en cada uno de sus últimos dos juegos, es un gran jugador cerca de la línea de gol y yardaje corto sin embargo, sigue siendo sorprendentemente evasivo y difícil de alcanzar. En sólo dos juegos, Booker ha ganado el respeto de las defensas y si comienza Oakland a poner ocho o nueve defensores en el cuadro, Siemian tendrá un día de campo para encontrar a Demaryius Thomas y Emmanuel Sanders atormentando a una secundaria que rinde más de 285 yardas por juego.

Cuando Denver reciba a Oakland el día de Año Nuevo, es probablemente seguro asumir que el clima será un factor determinante en la semana 17. Pero la semana nueve de la bahía podría presentar condiciones lejos de impecables. Si ese es el caso, los puntos pueden ser difíciles de conseguir, no podemos decir lo mismo para los grandes golpes en este caldeado partido de division.


NFLW Picks de la semana 8

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 10-28-2016 10:30

 

 

Daily Fantasy

 

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Derek Carr $5,900
RB Devonta Freeman $6,500
WR Cole Beasley $4,800
TE C.J. Fiedorowicz $2,800

Tampa has a pretty decent run defense. This will be a high scoring affair where both team will be throwing a ton. I see Carr going low owned here in big tourneys so take a chance on a QB with zero weather conditions. As for Freeman, is $6,500 really a value play at this price? Absolutely! He is guaranteed all the touches since Tevin Coleman will be out. He’ll have at least 25 touches including a few catches and with all that being said in a possible shootout? This is value. Same goes for Cole Beasley who’s lowest point total is 10 this year. With Dez back, I think this will open more room up for Beasley and I predict his ownership drops this week making him a sneaky play. C.J. Fiedorowicz, say that five times. A big target Osweiler has been relying on heavily this season. His targets are getting more and more consistent and also note Detroit is awful in shutting down the tight end. This price will allow you to construct a lineup with more high priced players.

 

Will’s Value Players:
QB Brock Osweiler $5,400
RB Isaiah Crowell $3,700
WR Devonta Adams $4,900
TE Jacob Tamme $2,800

At home against a Detroit defense that this season has on averaged surrendered over 270 passing yards per game, the Houston offense should have no issues extending drives if they continue to spread the ball as much as they do. Osweiler has been a wildcard all season but $5,400 is a modest price for a QB that could potentially put up top-10 fantasy numbers. The Cleveland backfield has been unpredictable all season but it’s apparent that The Crow is the more reliable rusher and is regularly expected to get more carries. A $3,700 price tag is a steal for a starting RB. Last week was a tough game for Jordy Nelson fans as Devonta Adams, Randall Cobb and Ty Montgomery stole the show. Adams is far from a one-hit wonder and will be targeted heavily on Sunday. Atlanta once again has one of the NFC’s most high octane offenses. While secondary’s keep constant tabs on Julio Jones, Tamme has thrived in the redzone. In this high scoring matchup, he’s a TD or bust play and for under $3,000, that’s a gamble worth taking.

 

 

Pick of the Week

 

Matt’s Pick: PHI +4.5 @ DAL

In the last six games at Dallas, the Eagles are 5-1. This will be a close game, as a lot of divisional matchups are and this game will come down to a field goal. You are all welcome again for another lock of the week.

 

Will’s Pick: NE -6 @ BUF

With rain in the forecast, historically Tom Terrific is lights out in crummy conditions. If Shady McCoy can’t go, the Buffalo offense is hopeless on Sunday. The Pats should easily pick up a second straight road win and bring the Bills back to .500.


Semana 8 Sientalos / Juegalos

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 10-28-2016 10:00

 

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Sam Bradford, Trevor Siemian

With so many teams on bye this week, you might find yourself with the need to stream a few players. Bradford is in a good spot here in week eight against a poor Chicago secondary. With just an average run game, I can see Bradford filling in nice here with a healthy Stefon Diggs back.

After three straight modest starts, Siemian has the opportunity to improve and impress this week at home against San Diego’s defense that’s surrendered 30 points or more in three of the last four games. A cheap play in daily fantasy and with weather a nonfactor this week, Siemian will have plenty of drop backs and should spread out the ball nicely to his numerous offensive weapons.

Sit ‘em: Carson Palmer, Phillip Rivers

Anyone who struggled to sit through Arizona’s dismal draw against Seattle last week isn’t debating if Palmer should start. They’re thinking who they can find on the waiver wire so they can rid themselves of the inconsistent train wreck that Palmer has sadly become. Against a well-rested Carolina D coming off a bye week, an already questionable Palmer will be under pressure all afternoon.

Denver’s defense will be ready for this one. In this divisional matchup at home, I can see Denver forcing a few turnovers and getting to Rivers.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: LeGarratte Blount, Matt Asiata

Could this be the NFL’s best goal line and shortage back that no one is talking about? He’s getting plenty of touches and if rain hits Buffalo on Sunday, those touches will only increase.

With a huge bye week combined with some other running back injuries around the league, Asiata will be a good fill in. Now, he might not accrue a mass amount of yards but he will be the guy to punch it in near the goal line.  Also add the fact McKinnon might not play ups his opportunities for scores.

Sit ‘em: Melvin Gordon, Matt Jones

We’ve returned to our faith in Denver’s defense again. If you have a different option at RB, think hard on this one. Gordon might not be a lock for starter points here on the road.

Jones has been handed countless chances to take the reins as the top back in Washington but he just keeps finding a way to blow it. With two fumbles last week and Chris Thompson impressing more and more, Jones’ touches, and opportunities, could be decreasing.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Michael Crabtree, Emmanuel Sanders

The guy is averaging almost 9 targets per game. Playing against a terrible TB secondary, Oakland will be throwing a ton here. Crab all day.

It’s tough to think of a #2 receiver on any other team in the league that’s more lethal than Emmanuel Sanders. For a little guy, he fearlessly goes across the middle and can burn corners on a deep route. San Diego’s pass defense gives up over 275 passing yards per game and Sunday in sunny Mile High Stadium will be no different. Averaging over 10 targets per game, Sanders might see even more than that.

Sit ‘em: Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson

Going against a stout Minnesota D here plus add the fact that he might be on the trading block? Ugh, I cannot imagine he puts up great numbers here. Pass.

He’s only been targeted 10 times or more once this season and he’s racked up only one 100-yard receiving game. DeSean Jackson is no longer the most dangerous weapon in Washington’s attack. Averaging only 32.5 receiving yards over the last four games, Jackson isn’t even worth FLEX consideration against Cincinnati.

Zach Miller Zach Miller. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Zach Miller, Zach Rudolph

By now, Miller is no longer the best kept secret at the TE spot in 2016. He’s been Chicago’s only reliable receiving option and Monday night with Jay Cutler returning under center, Miller will be his go-to red zone security blanket. Unless the Windy City gets a little too windy in the evening, passing conditions will be prime for this bitter NFC North bout against Minnesota.

Don’t need to repeat myself here for Rudolph against Chicago. Bears’ defense is weak sauce. Start him.

Sit ‘em: Antonio Gates, Hunter Henry

Just because Hunter Henry shouldn’t be started in fantasy lineups doesn’t guarantee Antonio Gates should either. Gates saw plenty of targets last week but the dinged-up veteran dropped all the vital ones. He’s losing a step, he’s losing his chemistry with Phillip Rivers and he’s losing his starting role to Henry. The once great Gates shouldn’t even be rostered at this point.

Man, I am jumping all over Sand Diego here but with Henry being a little banged up and Rivers really relying on Gates last week, maybe stream another tight end on this one.


Los Bills van por la doble victoria sobre los Patriots

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 10-26-2016 16:00

 

El otoño está oficialmente en toda su fuerza en el pintoresco estado de Nueva York en Buffalo pero los locales no enfrentaran la lluvia el domingo tan solo para ver las hojas cambian. Aficionados de los Bills haran llover insultos sobre Tom Brady cuando los Patriots lleguen a la ciudad para un húmedo choque de división.

Según NFLWeather.com , la lluvia es probable durante toda la tarde en Buffalo con un suave viento de 10-12 mph también. La Temperatura en el interior del Estadio Ralph Wilson será de mediados de 50 para esta amarga rivalidad de la AFC Este. Hemos visto una serie de campos de juego fangosos ya esta temporada, pero la tracción no será un problema en la superficie de césped artificial de los Bills.

Tom Brady Tom Bradyy. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

En 2013, Nueva Inglaterra venció a Buffalo en un juego con lluvia, 34-20, en casa a finales de diciembre. Los Pats se centraron en gran medida en el ataque por tierra, acumulando más de 40 acarreos entre cinco jugadores diferentes y por un total de aproximadamente 200 yardas. Pero eso no siempre ha sido el plan de juego de Nueva Inglaterra para los partidos importantes en condiciones de mal clima.

Es fácil asumir Tom Brady lleva a cuestas la ofensiva de los Patriots. En juegos con lluvia, ese no siempre es el caso. Por ejemplo, Brady promedió 39 intentos por juego la temporada pasada. Durante los últimos seis partidos bajo la lluvia, él sólo intento pases más de 30 veces en dos ocasiones. Pero eso no hace más lenta a la ofensiva de los Pats; que promedia 33 puntos por partido en ese periodo. Brady intentara repartir el balón por todo el campo, enfocandose en Gronkowski en la zona roja. Siempre y cuandp, LaGarrette Blount no acapare toda la acción cerca de la línea de gol.

Los Patriots (6-1) en juegos de lluvia son casi inmejorables. SU ultima derrota se remonta a un partido 24-23 en 2012 ante Seattle bajo una llovizna. Desde entonces, han sido impecables (5-0). Según NFLWeather.com Analytics, los Pats estan 8-2 en juegos de lluvia desde 2009 y 6-0 en casa durante ese mismo tramo .

Buffalo (4-3) ha sido una espina en el costado de Nueva Inglaterra en los últimos encuentros, dividiendo la serie de citas 2-2 desde diciembre de 2014. Pero cuando se trata de luchar contra los elementos, los Bills han sido extremadamente débiles, registrando un récord de 3-6 en juegos de lluvia desde el año 2010. Para empeorar las cosas, los Bills no han ganado un juego en el que la lluvia ha sido factor desde 2013.

No tener a LeSean McCoy durante parte del partido la semana pasada en Miami fue un duro golpe a la ofensiva de los Bills. Se espera que este de vuelta contra los Pats, pero sin su RB, Buffalo tendrá que luchar poderosamente ante una defensiva de Nueva Inglaterra que, en promedio esta temporada, ha rendido poco más de 15 puntos por juego. Promediando sólo 18,5 puntos por partido lluvia desde '10, le toca a McCoy y Tyrod Taylor hacer algunas grandes jugadas sobre la marcha con el fin de lograr la barrida de Nueva Inglaterra en esta temporada.

Con Tom Terrific vuelta bajo centro, es difícil encontrar un equipo más dominante en la liga en este momento que el de Nueva Inglaterra. Sin embargo, el único equipo que ha vencido a los Pats, hasta el momento, ha sido Buffalo. Una sorpresa en este juego de la AFC Este podría ser el pronóstico para el domingo tanto como nubes de tormenta.


NFLW PIcks de la semana 7

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 10-22-2016 08:30

 

Daily Fantasy

Will’s Value Players:
QB Marcus Mariota $6,000
RB Jacquizz Rodgers $4,300
WR Allen Hurns $5,000
TE Cameron Brate $2,900

After his phenomenal performance last week against Cleveland where he threw three TD’s, it’s astonishing Mariota’s price tag dropped $100 from last week. Expect similar numbers this week at home against Indy for the second-year starter. Rodgers was a revelation last week, tormenting the Carolina defense with 30 touches for over 100 yards and five receptions. Against the 49ers who surrender on average almost 175 rushing yards per game, Rodgers could put up Le’Veon Bell-like numbers. The Raiders can’t stop an aerial attacking team for the life of them which will mean big things for Jacksonville’s Allen Hurns. Across the state in Tampa Bay, Brate has been a machine since taking over the starting tight end roll. After only seeing three targets a week ago, he’ll bounce back against San Francisco’s Swiss cheese defense.

 

Matt’s Value Players:
QB Jameis Winston $5,900
RB Duke Johnson Jr. $3,900
WR Kenny Britt $4,300
TE Jack Doyle $2,500

At this price and expected output, plugging in Winston here gives you flexibility for roster construction. The likelihood the Browns falling behind to the Bengals is very good and a receiving back like Johnson has the higher ceiling when playing from behind. There’s a chance Pryor might miss this game which could result in more looks for Johnson. Hogging all the passes for the Rams this season, Britt has emerged as their #1 option. Anytime you can get a starter like that for this price, take it. With Dwayne Allen listed as doubtful for this week, look for Doyle to be a major part of the Colts offense. This will be a high scoring game and at this price, he’s a steal.

 

 

Pick of the Week

Will’s Pick: BAL +1 @ NYJ

The Jets’ offense is a sinking ship, and now that Geno Smith is in control, scoring double digits might be too tall an order let alone beating a solid Baltimore side. The Ravens won’t even need the point in this one.

 

Matt’s Pick: TB -2 @ SF

Tampa has the potent offense and San Francisco has the poor defense. It’s that simple. Buccaneers should run away with this one (pun intended for Chip).  Take this one to the bank.


Semana 7 Sientalos / Juegalos

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 10-22-2016 08:00

 

Quarterbacks

Start ‘em: Andy Dalton, Jameis Winston

Over the last four consecutive weeks, the dreadful Browns D has allowed opposing QB’s to toss for at least three touchdowns a game. With clear skies in Sunday’s forecast, expect Dalton to eviscerate the in-state rival Browns’ atrocious secondary.

Playing against the 49ers means Winston’s fantasy floor is very high this week. A fast paced game means more offensive plays and creates more opportunities to score points. A great streaming option if your QB is on a bye this week.

Sit ‘em: Carson Wentz, Alex Smith

Last week against Washington, Wentz was sacked five times and completed only half of his passes. If Philly’s offensive line doesn’t get it together against Minnesota’s stout D that only surrenders 12 points per game this season, another poor performance by the Wentz is in the cards. Winds could kick up to 15-20 mph which could also create some problems for the rookie.

Ok, hear me out… Yes, he is at home against the Saints, but keep this in mind... The Saints are more prone to allowing rushing TD’s in the red zone as opposed to giving it up thru the air. Temper expectations here.

Running Backs

Start ‘em: Jacquizz Rodgers, Spencer Ware

After seeing what Shady McCoy did the 49ers did last week, I can see Rodgers racking up good numbers here. Head Coach Dirk Koetter will always ride the running back no matter who it is. Until Doug Martin returns from injury, keep Rodgers starting in your lineup.

Even with Jamaal Charles back, Ware out touched the veteran RB last week 26 to 11 and is still very much an important factor of Andy Reid’s offense. Heading into week seven’s bout against a New Orleans defense that allows 117 rushing yards per game, Ware is a must-start and with wind expected to be a factor, Reid will prefer the traditional ground and pound attack.

Sit ‘em: Jay Ajayi, Lamar Miller

Expect Ajayi to come back down to earth this week at home to Buffalo. That, along with the fact Arian Foster is a week healthier, I can’t expect a large point total here this week. Wind and rain could end up being a factor here as well.

With only one rushing touchdown under his belt, it’s safe to say the expectations set for Miller in Houston this season were exceedingly too high. He’ll have his occasional 100-yard performances but against Denver’s lights out defense, there’s a minimal chance he’ll hit triple digits on Monday night.

Allen Robinson Allen Robinson. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Wide Receivers

Start ‘em: Brandon Marshall, Allen Robinson

Geno Smith, Fitzmagic, PeeWee Herman, or Carlton Banks.. It could be anyone under center but regardless of which clown is taking snaps, Marshall will get his looks and targets regardless. Expect a Brandon Marshall kinda game here.

Robinson, who was taken in most fantasy drafts in the third round, is a sleeping giant just waiting to put up big numbers against a sorry defensive unit. A visit from Oakland’s awful secondary that gives up over 312 passing yards per game might just do the trick. With clear skies in the forecast, Blake Bortles has perfect passing conditions to reignite his chemistry with his top wide out.

Sit ‘em: DeAndre Hopkins, Michael Floyd

At this point in the season, Hopkins has been touchdown dependent.  It gets worse this week when they arrive in Denver for a matchup nightmare. Hopkins was probably your first round pick, but sad to say he might not perform this week.

Aside from future Hall of Famer Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona receivers can’t be trusted. Against Seattle’s stellar defense and with Carson Palmer dinged up from last week, Floyd’s two targets from last week could be an indication he’s being phased-out of the Cardinal’s offensive game plans.

Tight Ends

Start ‘em: Gary Barnidge, Hunter Henry

Finally, Barnidge is once again a key factor in Cleveland’s [limited] passing attack. Over the last four weeks, Barnidge’s targets-per-game has leaped to 6.5 after averaging just over three a game following the first two weeks. With the Browns expected to be trailing the Bengals and forced to play catch-up, Cleveland will be compelled to abandon the run.

Henry’s production has been unbelievably consistent over the last month or so. Atlanta has two rookie LB’s and one rookie strong safety starting. Expect a lot of points put up in this game and Henry will be a part of it.

Sit ‘em: Dennis Pitta, Zach Ertz

The Jets can be beat through the air but with Flacco not 100% and this most likely being a low scoring game, the ceiling is low here for Pitta.

Since returning from injury, fantasy and Philly fans alike have been waiting for Ertz to live up to his hype. Well, both parties are still playing the waiting game and not much is expected to chance against Minnesota’s tenacious defense. Wind could be a factor on Sunday and if the Viking’s D-line causes the same problems Washington’s did last week (five sacks), Philly may need Ertz to help out in pass protection.


Buffalo vs Miami

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 10-19-2016 20:00

 

El huracán Matthew azotó la costa este y las partes de Georgia, Florida y las Carolinas todavia sufren las consecuencias. Por desgracia, no parece que las tormentas del Caribe de finales de verano han terminado de causar problemas en la NFL todavía, específicamente para la AFC Este esta semana cuando los Miami Dolphins reciban a los Bills de Buffalo.

LeSean McCoy LeSean McCoy. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Según NFLWeather.com , se espera que un viento de 20 mph se arremoline en el interior del estadio Hard Rock para el partido del domingo con temperaturas persistentes en los 70s. A partir del martes, hubo un pequeño porcentaje de posibilidades de precipitación, sin embargo, se prevé que la tormenta más proxima al este de las Bahamas se convierta en ciclón en los próximos días y podría forzar una tormenta al noroeste de Miami y la costa sureste.

Los Dolphins (2-4) vienen de un desmantelar un equipo de Pittsburgh Steelers bien redondeado y parecen estar por doblar la esquina después de un comienzo pésimo. Si son capaces de mantener el impulso ante Buffalo, Miami vovlera a estar en la pelea dentro de la AFC Este luego de un pésimo inicio de 2-5. Pero la historia no es un buen augurio para los 'Phins que tienen un registro de 2-5 en juegos con lluvia desde 2009 y no han ganado un partido en la lluvia en el país desde 2011. Irónicamente, ese partido fue una victoria ante los Bills por 35-8.

El quarterback Ryan Tannehill, 0-4 en su último puñado de juegos bajo la lluvia, sólo promedia 194 yardas por partido, pero su peor estadistica en partidos con mal tiempo es que recibe un promedio de 3,75 capturas. Contra una defensa de Buffalo que ya sumó 20 capturas esta temporada (segunda mejor en la NFL), las rutas cortas son cruciales para el éxito aéreo. En lo que va de esta temporada parece ser un show unipersonal en términos de recepciones con un Jarvis Landry que promedia aproximadamente 10 recepciones por partido. DeVante Parker y el ala cerrada Jordan Cameron desesperadamente necesitan tener más impacto ofensivo y afirmarse más en el juego. ¿Qué mejor momento para hacerlo que en un fundamental juego de división bajo la lluvia?

Pero los Dolphins pueden no necesitar el brazo de Tannehill luego de la sensacional actuación de Jay Ajayi el fin de semana pasado contra Pittsburgh, donde corrió por más de 200 yardas en 25 acareos y encontró la zona de anotación dos veces. Se esperaba el regreso de Arian Foster, pero puede ser que Ajayi se haya ganado el puesto de titular durante al menos un juego más, mientras que Foster continúa su rehabilitación.

Al igual que Miami, los Bills (4-2) no han tenido mucho éxito recientemente en la lluvia. Buffalo no ha ganado un partido en la lluvia desde 2013, cuando vencieron convincentemente a Miami, 19-0, y de acuerdo con la analitica historica de NFLWeather.com, tienen un registro de 3-6 en la lluvia desde el 2010. El hombre que necesitan para revertir esta tendencia es su caballo de batalla, LeSean McCoy, quien corrió para más de 100 yardas en tres de sus últimos cuatro juegos. McCoy se ha re-establecido nuevamente entre la élite de la NFL y si la lluvia y el viento afectan el juego aéreo, no sería una sorpresa si Shady obtiene más de 30 acarreos.

El ataque aereo de los Bills es actualmente el número 31 en la liga y debe anticipar que Miami llenara la caja e intentara forzar a Tyrod Taylor a ganar el partido con su brazo. Idealmente, Buffalo preferiría los acarreos (especialmente contra una defensa que rinde 147 yardas terrestres por juego), y con fuerte viento pronósticado van a necesitar a que Taylor haga un par de jugadas por su cuenta. Ya sea con las piernas o siendo más preciso con la pelota, la falta de Sammy Watkins ya no es una excusa legítima para la falta de producción. Ahora es el momento para que Robert Woods demuestre que es capaz de ser protagonista.

El factor X en este duelo de la AFC Este podrían ser los pateadores, y tanto Dan Carpenter (BUF) como Andrew Franks (MIA) han estado lejos de ser perfectos. Carpenter esta 4-de-6 a partir de 40 yardas esta temporada, mientras que Franks esta 3-de-5 entre 20 y 29 yardas y 0 de 1 a partir de 50. Con brutal viento y la lluvia siendo una posibilidad, los puntos podrían escasear en Miami el domingo.


Picks de NFLW de la Semana 6

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 10-15-2016 07:15

 

 

Daily Fantasy

 

Jugadores de Will:
QB Carson Wentz $6,000
RB James Starks $3,400
WR Tavon Austin $3,900
TE Jacob Tamme $2,700

Por un precio de $ 6.000, Wentz es una compra frugal con el potencial para poner números de primera línea contra un débil Washington. Jugar a Wentz por sobre, por ejemplo, Russell Wilson, ahorra casi $ 1,000 que pueden ser utilizados en un jugador de FLEX de mayor nivel. Lacy no ha estado practicando toda la semana y si él está fuera para el partido del domingo, Stark será el caballo de batalla y un RB titular por menos de $ 3500 es un robo. Es casi imposible encontrar un WR número uno por menos de $ 4.000, aparte de Tavon Austin que también gana puntos en los equipos especiales. Tamme ha sido de éxito o sequia como TE esta temporada, pero por el precio y por la lluvia en el pronóstico, Ryan podría utilizarlo más de lo habitual.

 

Jugadores de Matt:
QB Marcus Mariota $6,100
RB Gio Bernard $4,600
WR Robert Woods $4,200
TE Zach Miller $3,800

$ 6.100, es un gran precio para un QB que juega en casa contra los Browns. Han sido desmenuzados por pase durante toda la temporada y espero que nada cambie esta semana. A este precio, será más fácil incluir a otro jugador de alto precio en su alineación. Para Gio, hay una buena probabilidad de que los Pats arranquen anotando y con la lesión en el pecho de Jeremy Hill, es probable que se vean más acarreos para Bernard. Roberts Woods es ahora el el principal receptor y justo estara jugando en un juego de alto vuelo esta semana. El valor aquí es demasiado grande com para no considerarlo. Desde la semana 3, Zach Miller no ha anotado menos de 12 puntos de fantasy por juego. Desde entonces, el recibe un promedio de siete pases por partido. Con un piso asi de alto, este precio es genial.

 

 

 

Pick of the Week

 

Will’s Pick: NO +3 vs CAR

La ofensiva de New Orleans ha vuelto como una de las unidades de élite de la NFC por haber anotado menos de 32 puntos solo una vez esta temporada y un con promedio de más de 300 yardas por juego. Contra una unidad defensiva disminuida en Carolina que permite 27 puntos por partido y que dejo que Matt Ryan tenga un día de campo contra ellos en el Georgia Dome hace dos semanas, hay una posibilidad de que Drew Brees pueda poner números heroicos en casa.

 

Matt’s Pick: GB -4 vs DAL

Green Bay obligará a los Cowboys a lanzar pronto y con frecuencia. No veo a Dez jugar en este juego lo que significa que los Packers seran capaces de alejarse temprano en la segunda mitad. Dak vuelve a bajar aquí a la Tierra.


Semana 6 Juegalos / Sientalos

por Will Strome and Matt Aloisi | 10-15-2016 07:00

 

Quarterbacks

Juegalos: Blake Bortles, Brian Hoyer

Sin un juego terrestre, Jacksonville se va a tener que lanzar una tonelada de pases. Resulta que la secundaria de Chicago es muy pobre y es probable que permita varias jugadas de muchas yardas. Aun con la posibilidad de una inminente llovizna, no tengo ningún problema en jugar este QB. En el otro lado del campo y luego de haber comenzado su carrera enm Chicago con un promedio de más de 300 yardas por aire y dos anotaciones por partido, es dudoso que un poco de llovizna ralentizará a un Hoyer que esta al rojo vivo. Contra una defensa de los Jaguars que permite un promedio de dos anotaciones por juego, si la lluvia se hace presente, Hoyer podría no tener grandes yardas por aire, pero al menos se puede apostar por un touchdown o dos.

Sientalos: Andy Dalton, Dak Prescott

La defensa de Nueva Inglaterra ha sido bastante buena contra el QB este año en el fantasy y espero que siga siendo la misma ante un equipo inconsistente como Cincinnati. Los Bengals tienen una sola gran amenaza de pase, y los Pats armaran su plan de juego alrededor AJ Green. No hay preocupaciones reales de clima que afecten el juego aéreo. Jugando contra de la mejor defensa de la liga contra la carrera, Dallas podría verse obligado a pedir al demasiado del QB novato de visitante ante Green Bay. Esperen que Prescott fuerce las cosas en varias ocasiones, pero ojala pueda limitar las pérdidas de balón. Por lo menos no estará luchando contra los elementos en Wisconsin ya que se espera un cielo despejado en el Lambeau.

 

Corredores

Juegalos: LeSean McCoy, Jordan Howard

El RB de los Bills ha tenido un gran inicio de temporada y esta semana entfrenta a los 49ers. ¿Por qué Shady querria jugar el partido de su vida?no lo sé .... ¡Oh si! Él está jugando contrra Chip Kelly, quien lo envió a Buffalo hace unos años. Hmmmm ... Los jugadores de fantasy tenían grandes esperanzas para Jeremy Langford en el backfield de Chicago, pero quien habría esperado que Jordan Howard llenara el vacío tan bien una vez que Langford sufrió con una lesión. En sus dos partidos como titular hasta el momento, Howard ha acumulado casi 300 yardas totales y es un arma entre los tackles, así como un arma para pases hacia los flats. Con la lluvia siendo una posibilidad, podría ver incluso mas toques de lo esperado.

Sientalos: Arian Foster, Carlos Hyde

El hecho de que él está disponible, no significa que sea "jugable". Foster es probable que haga su regreso esta semana en el hogar de Pittsburgh pero su carga de trabajo es cuestionable. Si Miami cae detrás en el marcador, los delfines pueden tener que abandonar la carrera por completo. La lluvia está en el pronóstico del domingo por lo que si las condiciones de juego se ponen feas, Miami no correrá el riesgo de que Foster vuelva a tener una lesión. Un equipo de la costa oeste volando hacia el este para para un juego en el primer turno rara vez tiene una experiencia positiva. Creo que Buffalo se ira al frente en el marcador al comienzo y San Francisco va a pasar mucho en un intento de mantener el ritmo, lo que resulta en menos toques para Hyde.

 

Alas Abiertas

Juegalos: Robert Woods, Quincy Enunwa

Con Watkins sin jugar, Woods es la opción #1 para Buffalo. Si usted crea que tiene el talento o no de ser un #1, no quita el hecho de que se incrementan lso envios hacia el. Woods es una opción de relleno en la semana de descanso para su equipo de fantasía esta semana. Ahora que Eric Decker ya no jugara mas este año, Enunwa es una fija en todas las ligas y se espera que se haga cargo de la función de número dos detrás de Brandon Marshall, quien también está juagndo con algunas lesiones persistentes. Enunwa actualmente promedia casi 10 recepciones por partido y eso era con Decker jugando. Este atento a ver cómo lo usan en plan de juego semanal ofensivo los Jets de aqui en adelante.

Sientalos: Alshon Jeffery, Golden Tate>

Él no esta recibiendo los pases que un receptor de franquicia deberia estar recibiendo. Sus números han bajado y espero que esto continúe, especialmente si Hoyer es el QB. Royal, Miller, y Meredith han visto mas pases , así que tal vez hay que pensar las opciones en este juego. Simplemente no esta mostrando el valor por donde seguramente fue seleccionado mayormente. El hecho de que él no es digno de poner en tu alineacion no significa que está listo para ser abandonado. Su producción individual ha sido atroz hasta ahora, pero el potencial de grandes jugadas todavía está allí. Después de todo, él es el hombre que los leones creian que seria primer receptor tras la salida de Megatron y que todavía está en una ofensiva de Detroit que pinesa primero en le pase.

 

Jason Witten Jason Witten. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Alas Cerradas

Juegalos: Jesse James, Jason Witten

Después de haber anotado touchdowns en tres de los últimos cuatro partidos, Jesse James ya no es el secreto mejor guardado de la ofensiva de Pittsburgh. Tenía un día de carrera la semana pasada, recibiendo seis de ocho pases para 43 yardas y una anotación y tiene claramente ganada la confianza de Big Ben en la zona roja. La última vez que los Steelers jugaron bajo la lluvia, James anotó. Esperen un rendimiento similar en la lluvia de la Florida aquí. La defensiva contra la carrera de Green Bay obligará a los Cowboys a pasar en gran medida. ¿Quién es el mejor amigo de un novato? Un ala cerrada de manos seguras.

Sientalos: Dwayne Allen, Vance McDonald

La semana pasada fue su primera toma de contacto desde la semana uno y está promediando menos de cinco recepciones por partido. Se cree que es uno de los diez mejores TE del fantasy esta temporada, pero que simplemente no va a pasar para Dwanye Allen con los recién llegados Cameron Brate y Jesse James siendo más productivos esta temporada. Incluso las condiciones de juego perfectas en Houston no ayudarán Allen esta semana. Además de los Pats, los Bills han sido excelentes contra las alas cerrada en fantasy. San Francisco jugara con su segundo QB a partir de esta semana y jugar a McDonald sería un juego de azar. Hay una posibilidad menor de lluvia y eso es un factor aquí también.


Batalla de las aves de la NFL. Falcons y Seahawks.

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 10-14-2016 16:00

 

Con el otoño cae el follaje en la mayor parte del país. Sin embargo, en el noroeste del Pacífico, la temporada de lluvias aparentemente está a punto de comenzar y justo a tiempo para un enfrentamiento determinante en la NFC que puede hasta ser de desempate cuando los Atlanta Falcons visiten a los Seattle Seahawks el domingo.

Russell Wilson Russell Wilson. Foto cortesia de USA Today.

Según NFLWeather.com , la lluvia es probable que golpee con fuerza a Seattle el jueves y no se espera que se detenga hasta mediados de la próxima semana . Las temperaturas rondarán los 50 al inicio del match, pero un frío viento de 14-15 mph podría jugar un factor para ambos equipos e e; juego por aire. El entrenador en jefe de los Falcons, Dan Quinn, es el ex coordinador defensivo de Seattle, y es muy consciente de cómo los elementos tendrán un impacto en su nuevo equipo, el cual esta acostumbrado al interior ya que juega en un domo.

Como era de esperar, los Seahawks (3-1) han jugado en la mayor cantidad de enfrentamientos impactados por el clima en la liga desde 2009 y poseen de un impresionante récord de 9-2 en casa en los mismos. De acuerdo con la analitica histórica de NFLWeather, el ataque de los Seahawks promedia 30 puntos por partido en la lluvia mientras que la defensa notoriamente solamente permite 15 por juego. Parece casi imposible irrumpir en Seattle y sacar una victoria en condiciones de mal clima, pero los Rams lo hicieron justamente esta última temporada, algo que los halcones no han hecho desde 2011.

Luego de su semana de descanso, Russell Wilson y compañía han tenido mucho tiempo para prepararse para el alto octanaje del ataque aereo de Atlanta. Pero el propio Wilson tiene que ser el más inteligente de los dos QB de élite y evitar pérdidas de balón. En 12 juegos en su carrera impactados por el clima, Wilson ha lanzado diez intercepciones y generado xuatro balones sueltos. Eso no va a volar durante aguacero del domingo por lo que tendrá que establecer temprano el juego por tierra contra una defensa de los Falcons que permite aproximadamente 100 yardas terrestres por juego. Christine Michael llevará la carga de trabajo pero Alex Collins y el recién adquirido CJ Spiller pueden ayudar con un puñado de acarreos.

Los Falcons (4-1), son un equipo de domo, y no les ha ido muy bien en la lluvia con una marca de 2-3 desde el '09 . Pero el quarterback Matt Ryan ha puesto números impresionantes en los juegos bajo la lluvia al jugar de visitante. En cinco \partido de mal tiempo, Ryan tiene un porcentaje de pase del 68%, y tiene una relación de touchdown contra a la intercepción de 10: 2 y un promedio de casi 240 yardas por juego. Para un QB de dome, el antiguo pistolero de Boston College ha sido brillante para Atlanta en los días feos.

Sin embargo, si la ofensiva espera depender únicamente de Ryan y el imparable Julio Jones contra los siete del frente defensivo de Seattle, están destinados a perder. A pesar de que la defensa de los Seahawks esta permitiendo sólo 80 yardas terrestres por juego y los remolinos de viento en las previsiones del domingo, Tevin Coleman y Devonta Freeman tendrá que generar yardas difíciles contra la Legión del Boom. Si Atlanta puede hacer que Seattle respete el juego terrestre, la acción del juego podría crear grandes oportunidades para Mohamed Sanu o Jacob Tamme, siempre uy cuando el viento lo permita.

Con la ofensiva de alta puntuación que tienen, no sería una gran sorpresa si Atlanta saca la victoria. La semana pasada, no muchos fans pensaron que los Falcons podría volar en Denver y sacar la victoria que sacaron. Quizás Atlanta puede arruinar el desfile de otro equipo en su casa por segunda semana consecutiva.

.


NFLW Picks de la semana 5

por The NFLW Team | 10-10-2016 08:00

 

 

Fantasy Semanal

 

Matt’s DK Team: Will’s DK Team:
QB Phillip Rivers $6,900 QB Derek Carr $6,800
RB Devonta Freeman $5,000 RB Melvin Gordon $7,000
RB CJ Anderson $6,900 RB Jordan Howard $5,200
WR Dontrelle Inman $4,100 WR Antonio Brown $9,800
WR TY Hilton $7,400 WR Julian Edelman $6,700
WR Odell Beckham Jr. $8,500 WR Tavon Austin $3,700
TE Zach Ertz $3,500 TE Clive Walford $2,700
Flex Eddie Royal $4,200 Flex Eddie Lacy $5,900
DEF Minnesota Vikings $3,400 DEF; Chicago Bears $2,200

 

 

Pick de la semana

 

Seleccion de Will: CHI 4.5 @ IND

Indianapolis es el primer equipo en la historia de la NFL que no tendra semana de descanso despues de jugar un juego en Londres. Despues de haber perdido de manera brutal, permitiendo que los Jaguars se recuperen en el ultimo cuarto, tuvieron que luego soportar un largo vuelo a casa. Esperamos que este partido sea muy duro para los Colts. Incluso si los Bears no ganan, van a mantenerlo cerca.

Seleccion de Matt: TEN 3.5 @ MIA

Este juego parece que sera muy mal jugado, con las condiciones climaticas terribles esperadas este fin de semana. Si Cleveland no hubiera hecho un movimiento incompetente con sus pateadores, Miami habría perdido en casa. Ambos equipos son de plano malos y Miami no se va apoder escapar de este.


Juegalos / Sientalos Semana 5

por The NFLW Team | 10-09-2016 22:00

 

Mariscales

Juegalos: Derek Carr, Eli Manning

En cuatro partidos en su carrera contra los Chargers, Carr ha encontrado la zona de anotación ocho veces y solo dos intercepciones. Se espera buen tiempo y el cielo el domingo en la bahia, seran ideales condiciones para que el QB de Oakland que promedia más de 38 pases por partido esta temporada.
Green Bay tiene la mejor defensa en la NFL contra la carrera sin embargo, los Packers también estan 31 en la liga en puntos de fantasía permitido a los mariscales de campo. Se espera que Eli pase a menudo lo que conducirá a un piso alto proyectado para sus puntos de fantasia. El tiempo no parece ser un factor en este partido, así que aquí vienen los puntos!

Sientalos: Ryan Tannehill, Tyrod Taylor

Este juego podría ser un desastre climático. Las condiciones podrían ser difíciles para pasar y Tennessee sólo ha permitido un promedio de un touchdown por juego hasta el momento. Con las preocupaciones climáticas y las inconsistencias de Tannehill, se espera una actuacion mediocre.
Con Sammy Watkins fuera por el restop de la temporada, Taylor no tiene muchas armas explosivas en el ataque de Buffalo. Ciertamente no ayuda a la situación esta semana, cuando los Bills viajen a Los Angeles para jugar ante unos Rams que ya han dado cuenta de Carson Palmer y Russell Wilson. LA tendrá un clima perfecto pero Taylor estara lejos de una tarde perfecta.

 

 

Terrance West Terrance West. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

 

 

Corredores

Juegalos: Terrance West, Devonta Freeman

Se espera que la lluvia golpee Chesapeake este fin de semana por lo que los pases largos podrían estar fuera de la cuestión para los Ravens. Siendo ese el caso, Baltimore esperará que Terrance West leve la carga del trabajo tanto entre los tackles como para los pases cortos de Flacco. Ahora que Justin Forsett ha sido cortado, West sera protagonista hasta que Kenneth Dixon este saludable.
Con Tevin Coleman siendo un signo de interrogación, los Falcons tendrán que depender en gran medida de Freeman quién se quedará con la mayor parte de los acarreos para Atlanta. Con el tiempo siendo un factor potencial en la mayoría de las otras ciudades, parece que sera un hermoso día en Denver el domingo.

Sientalos: Charles Sims, LaGarrette Blount

Después de la minima producción ofensiva de las últimas semanas por de la ausencia de Doug Martin, esta claro que Sims ha fallado en impresionar como titular en Tampa Bay. Contra Carolina esta temporada, el maximo de yardas por tierra que un corredor fue capaz de acumular fueron 65 por CJ Anderson. Si el huracán Mateo golpea la costa este a tiempo para interrumpir este choque de la NFC Sur, Sims se quedara atascado en el barro durante la mayor parte de la tarde contra una corpulenta linea frontal de Carolina.
Con Tom Brady de vuelta, los Pats intentaran más pases cortos a James White. No se puede confiar en Blount para obtener 20 toques aquí porque probable NE haga lo posible para asegurarse que Tom consigua sus TDs. Parece que el tiempo sera decente el domingo en el "Error del lago".

 

 

Alas Abiertas

 

 

Juegalos: Odell Beckham Jr., Julian Edelman

Olviden todo el drama que OBJ está atravesando, CB Sam Shields no va a jugar. Contra una secundaria pobre, se espera que Eli pase pronto y con frecuencia. Este es un gran juego para que el receptor abierto estrella vuelva a la pista.
Tom Brady ha regresado y todos los dueños del fantasy de Julian Edelman pueden regocijarse. A pesar de un pésimo inicio de la campaña 2016, Edelman está preparado para ser el blanco preferido con Gronk todavía no del todo bien de salud. A pesar de un promedio de menos de cinco recepciones por partido, la producción de Edelman está a punto de dispararse. Con el viento que se espera que sea un factor en el lago Erie, Brady es probable que prefiera pases cortos, rutas de cruce y no los pases profundos.

Sientalos: Demeryius Thomas, Tajae Sharpe

En el Mile High City el domingo, Thomas estara a cargo de Desmond Trufant, el mejor CB de la liga del cual nadie está hablando. Con los Falcons diezmados en la posición de LB, Denver correra el balón más de lo habitual.
Sharpe se convirtió en un objetivo popular en los waiver wires después de su prometedor inicio de temporada, pero en una ofensiva que está luchando para producir puntos, es difícil sobresalir y ser una opción digna de fantasy. No ayuda a su caso que que Marcus Mariota tiene una relación de touchdown / interceptación de 0:3 desde la semana dos. Con el huracán Mateo posiblemente interrumpiendo el partido, el juego aéreo podría terminar siendo inexistente.

 

 

Alas Cerradas

 

 

Juegalos: Cameron Brate, Martellus Bennett

Desde que asumió el rol de ala cerrada titular, Brate ha sido una fija en el ataque de Tampa. En dos partidos se le enviaron 18 pases y atrapó 10 para 113 yardas y dos anotaciones ... todo esto en contra de un par defensas de sólidas en Denver y Los Ángeles, donde las condiciones climáticas del monzón fueron un factor importante. Contra una defensa de Carolina que permitio anotaciones de alas cerradas en tres juegos consecutivos, Brate tiene el potencial para un día de campo, independientemente de las condiciones de lluvia pronosticadas.
Con las apuestas poniendolos como favoritos por 10.5 puntos, existe una posibilidad de que los Pats aranquen anotando y nunca miren hacia atrás por el resto del partido. Si ese es el caso, NE buscara descansar a Gronk. Bennett es una gran opción y será productivo en este juego con Gronk mirando desde las bandas.

Sientalos: Charles Clay, Jacob Tamme

Hay un montón de alas cerradas de renombre con fecha libre esta semana (Travis Kelce, Jimmy Graham, Coby Fleener, Julius Thomas) haciendo que los jugadores de fantasy esten golpeando duro el waiver wire. Una opción que está disponible en todas las ligas aparentemente ( y por buenas razones) y debe evitarse a pesar de su rendimiento decente hace una semana es Charles Clay. Vio siete objetivos la semana pasada lo que podría hacer de él un poco más atractivo para los propietarios desesperados, especialmente con el clima no siendo un factor en Los Ángeles, pero no se dejen engañar, este es un movimiento que lamentarán absolutamente.
Tamme no ha tenido dos juegos seguidos productivos esta temporada y contra la excepcional defensa de Denver, se vera limitado, en el mejor de los casos. Su ex equipo lo conoce bien y los Broncos planearan su juego alrededor de no permitirle recibir el balon.

.


Batalla de Antietam 2016: Redskins vs Ravens

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 10-05-2016 18:00

 

Se esperan fuertes vientos y lluvia para el choque entre los rivales del estado de Maryland este domingo, cuando los Redskins de Washington tomen la autopista I-95 hacia el norte para ir a enfrentar a los Baltimore Ravens.

Joe Flacco Joe Flacco. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

De acuerdo a NFLWeather.com, se esperan vientos con una maxima de 20 mph este domingo en el stadio M&T Bank. No ayuda para nada que el huracan Matthew se espera que pase en ese momento por la costa este de los Estados Unidos llevando con el luvias y una humedad de cerca del 90%. Hay serias chances de que el inicio del partido a las 13 horas presente lluvias. Estas malas condiciones complicaran las cosas para los pateadores, especialmente porque la superficie de Bermuda Grass de dicho estadio ya sufrio el mal clima del domingo pasado.

Muchos critican a Joe Flacco, pero, el quaterback campeon del Super Bowl siempre parece ingeniarselas para lograr una victoria, aun si muchas veces lo hace sin desplegar un gran juego. Los numeros de Flacco hablan por si mismos. De acuerdo a la seccion de analisis historicvo de NFLWeather.com , Flacco esta 7-1 en juegos con lluvia desde 2009 y la ofensiva que el lidera promedia 27 puntos por partido. En esos ocho partidos afectados por el clima, tiene un promedio de 236 yardas por aire en 30 intentos, ha encontrado la zona de anotacion 11 veces y solo ha entregado el balon en dos ocasiones. Esta temporada llega a este partido con un promedio de 42.5 intentos de pase por partido. Esto nos indica que Flacco pasara la pelota sin importar las condiciones climaticas.

Historicamente, Baltimore (3-1) ha buscado por aire a Dennis Pitta (TE) en partidos afectados por el clima. En los ultimos partidos con lluvia, Pitta tiene un promedio de 7 recepciones para 85 yardas y al menos un touchdown. El va a ser la primer opcion de pase en la zona roja. Por su parte el veloz Mike Wallace, Steve Smith Sr. y Kamar Aiken seran las opciones para pase profundo y de costura (Smith es el lider de recepciones esta tremporada) siempre que el viento lo permita. Terrance West ha pasado a Justin Forsett como el principal corredor pero Forsett continua siendo la primer opcion de pase desde el backfield. Si el partido se juega bajo la lluvia, ser puede esperar que Joe Flacco busque principalmente los pases cortos y rutas cruzadas. No deberia sorprendernos si Baltimore anota consistentemente contra una defensa que se encuentra en la ultima posicion en la liga en primeros downs permitidos y yardas por aire (413) permitidas por partido.

El ataque de Washington (2-2) no parece tan complejo como el de los Ravens. Matt Jones, el principal corredor de los Redskins, ha probado su capacidad mas y mas a medida que han pasado las semanas y se le han dado cada vez mas acarreos (semana 1: 7, semana 2: 13, semana 3: 17, semana 4: 22). Viene de el mejor partido de su carrera la semana pasada contra Cleveland (117 yardas y un touchdown). Ha mayor lluvia, mas chances de que Jones tenga mas acarreos. Por su parte Jay Gruden intentara quitarle presion a Kirk Cousins, quien no se ha visto consistente ultimamente, tanto con el juego por tierra con Jones como con pases cortos a Jordan Reed.

Cousins esta 0-2 en su carrera bajo la lluvia y los Redskins no han ganado en la lluvia desde 2008 (0-6 desde entonces). Contra una defensa que solo permite un promedio de 11 puntos en juegos con lluvia desde 2009, los Redskins necesitaran una tormenta de entregas de balon por parte de Baltimore para ganar este partido.


Mas tormentas en Tampa?

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 09-29-2016 18:00

 

Comunmente reconocida como la cuna de las tormentas electricas de Norte America, Tampa Bay ya ha tenido un partido con demoras por clima adverso este año, y al parecer se avecina otra tormenta este fin de semana.

De acuerdo a NFLWeather.com, hay probabilidades de lluvia durante toda la tarde el domingo con vientos de cerca de 11mph. Se espera una humedad del 60% y hasta 70% hacia el final del partido, indicando esto la posibilidad otra tormenta en el Raymond James Stadium. Casi todos los juegos que se juegan en la costa este domingo comienzan a las 13 horas, pero tanto este como el juego de la semana pasada de los Bucs han sido movidos a las 16hs para asi tratar de evitar las tormentas tan comunes en esta epoca del año en la region de Tampa. La semana anterior no se logro evitar la tormenta y tampoco parece que fuera a pasar en el juego de este domingo.

Jameis Winston Jameis Winston. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

La demora del partido del domingo pasado duro mas de una hora pero no cambio la suerte de los Bucs que luego de haber obligado a los Rams a despejar el balon en el final del juego no pudieron anotar en su ultima posesion. Pero una derrota bajo la lluvia no es nada nuevo para Tampa. De acuerdo al Archivo Historico de NFLWeather.com, desde 2011 los Buccaneers tiene un record de 1-6 en partidos con clima adverso, y permiten un promedio de 27 punto por partido. Han permitido 10 puntos o menos tan solo una vez en dicho periodo. Con tan mala defensa, la ofensiva se vera obligada a dominar el tiempo de posesion y establecer el juego por tierra con Charles Sims quien continuara reemplazando al lesionado Doug Martin.

El ganador del trofeo Heisman, Jameis Winston, solo tiene un juego bajo la lluvia en su carrera como profesional, pero esta acostumbrado al clima de Florida habiendo jugado football universitario en Florida State. Bajo la lluvia, la semana anterior, Winston obtuvo el maximo de yardas de su carrera (364) antes de la demora y 405 yardas total en el partido. Pero su kryptonita son las perdidas de balon; ya tiene seis intercepciones esta temporada y dos entregas de balon (fumbles). Apesar de tener armas como Mike Evans y Vincent Jackson a su disposicion, si el joven mariscal continua entregando el balon, Tampa (1-2) seguira perdiendo tan frecuentemente como lo viene haciendo hasta ahora.

Denver (3-0) ha jugado muy bien en sus ultimos seis partidos impactados por el clima. Y no hay nada que haga pensar que no se llevaran de Tampa un triunfo para mejoprar a 4-0, ya que la defensa de Tampa ha permitido 101 puntos en lo que va de la temporada (casi 34 ppg) y la ofensiva de los Broncos es la cuarta mejor de la liga (84 puntos, 28 ppg). La ofensiva de Denver promedia 24 puntos en partidos con clima adverso.

Trevor Siemian, quien ha impresionado con su buen juego en lo que va de la temporada, se ha conectado sin problemas con Emmanuel Sanders y a Demaryius Thomas. Ambas alas abiertas estan teniendo una gran campaña, asi como el corredor CJ Anderson. Si Denver continua su gran juego de ataque es muy probable que veamos a un equipo de Tampa atascado en el barro durante todo el encuentro.


PANTHER vs VIKINGS: CIELOS CLAROS Y BARRO

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 09-21-2016 21:00

 

El pronostico para Charlotte este domingo cambia dia a dia. Ahi se enfrentaran los invictos Minnesota Vikings y los campeones defensores de la NFC Norte en un crucial encuentro. De acuedo a NFLWeather.com, se esperan cielos despejados pero eso puede cambiar ya que Charlotte tendra lluvias toda la semana y quizas alguna llovizna se mantenga durante el fin de semana mientras la tormenta Karl se acerca a la costa sudeste de los Estados Unidos.

Sam Bradford Sam Bradford. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

La superficie de pasto del Bank of America Stadium seguramente estara cubierta para no ser afectada por las tormentas de entre semana, pero aun asi es probable que veamos condiciones de campo similares a las ques e vieron en Pittsburgh esta semana pasada. Por su parte no se espera que el viento sea factor y las temperaturas estaran cerca de los 80f.

Cuando se trata de juegos en la lluvia, Cam Newton juega muy bien habiendo anotado en cada uno de los seis juegos en esas condiciones durante su carrera y teniendo un impresionante record de 5-1 en los mismos. Pero el ganador del trofeo Heisman ha tambien entregado el balon varias veces, con un promedio de al menos una intercepcion o fumble en cada juego impactado por el clima en los que ha participado. El, junto con sus corredores (Fozzy Whittaker, Mike Tolbert y Cameron Artis-Payne), debera concentrarse en mantener ese balon bajo control, teniendo en cuenta que Jonathan Stewart no jugara por lesion.

Carolina (1-1) es un muy complicado rival bajo malas condiciones climaticas, especialmente de local en donde tienen un record de 5-0 en las ultimas 5 temporadas. A la defensiva, es dificil encontrar un mejor equipo en partidos impactados por el clima. Carolina permitio 20 o mas puntos solo una vez desde el 2011 a la fecha, de acuerdo a NFLWeather.com. A pesar de la partida de Josh Norman, la defensa de los Panthers es la septima mejor en la NFL, permitiendo apenas mas de 300 yardas totales por partido.

Los Vikings (2-0) tambien presentan una buena defensa, permitiendo apenas 290 yardas por juego, siendo ahora la quinta mejor defensa de la liga. Pero en este momento todos miran a su unidad ofensiva por la perdida Adrian Peterson por lesion. Jerick Mckinnon es quien se espera reemplace a AP con Matt Asiato asistiendolo. Se espera que estos dos corredores puedan quitarle algo de presion a su quarterback quien estara jugando su segundo partido con el equipo.

Sam Bradford, quien billo en su debut la semana pasada ante Green Bay, Tiene muy poca experiencia en la lluvia. Su ultimo encuentro fue en 2012 en donde Bradford termino con 22-de-30 pases para 205 yardas con un touchdown y una intercepcion en la derrota ante New England. Se espera que el Tight End Kyle Rudolph sea la valvula de escape de Bradford principalmente el la zone roja, pero si los receptores de Minnesota fallan en crear espacios en la secundaria rival, los Vikings continuaran con problemas en partidos con clima adverso en los cuales actualmente estan 4-8 desde 2011. Seguiran los fans de los Vikings pensando en Bud Grant, Fran Tarkenton, Ahmad Rashad, "the Purple People Eaters" y el viejo domo?



NFLWeather Reporte: Steelers y Bengals intentan vencer a la lluvia... nuevamente

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 09-14-2016 10:00

 

Cuando Pittsburgh jugo en Cincinnati el pasado enero, escaparon con una victoria 18-16 en el playoff wildcard, bajo la lluvia. Lo unico mas dificil de predecir que la remontada de ese ultimo cuarto fue el clima. Ojala este proximo juego entre estos dos equipos sea tan apasionante. Y al parecer el clima va a jugar nuevamente un papel preponderante.

De acuerdo a NFLWeather.com, se espera lluvia durante todo el encuentro entre estos dos rivales divisonales. Temperaturas cerca de los 80 con la humedad cercana al 80%. EL viento no deberia ser un gran factor, cerca de los 7mph, pero Heinz Field’s siempre presenta problemas para los pateadores, mas alla del clima. Una superficie lodoza puede ser factor en el juego de equipos especiales.

Steeler-Bengals Steelers-Bengals. Foto cortesia de USA Today.

En la victoria bajo la lluvia de Pittsburgh en los pasados playoff, ninguno de los dos equipos fue particularmente impresionante, siendo que ambos quaterbacks tiraron intercepciones y ambos equipos sumaron siete perdidas de balon. Ambos equipos presentaban ausencias de jugadores clave (Andy Dalton, Le’Veon Bell y DeAngelo Williams), pero todos esas figuras deberian estar presentes en este nuevo encuentro, a excepcion de Bell que est cumpliendo su suspension.

Desde 2012, los Steelers (1-0) tienen un impresionante record de 9-2 en partidos con clima adverso. Mas alla de las condiciones, se puede contar con que Ben Roethlisberger no se vera afectado por la lluvia. De acuerdo a NFLWeather.com Analitica, solo una vez en 11 juegos con lluvia Big Ben no tiro touchdowns y en sus ultimos 6 partidos tiene un promedio de 33 pases y 240 yardas. Una lluvizna no afectara a Roethlisberger y Antonio Brown.

Aunque Cincinnati (1-0) jha jugado en menos juegos afectados por la lluvia que Pittsburgh, y presenta un record de 3-3 en los mismos desde 2011, la falta de experiencia de Dalton en malas condiciones no deberia ser sobrevalorada. Sus ultimos dos partidos bajo la lluvia fueron victorias en Denver (2014) y New England (2013). En esos partidos, Dalton completo 37 de 53 intentos para 358 yardas, dos touchdowns y dos intercepciones. Los numeros no parecen gigantes pero 2-0 ante esos equipos ciertamente es importante. Se espera que Jeremy Hill y Giovani Bernard ayuden a Dalton y Hill deberia tener mas acarreos que su rapida contrapartida.


NFLWeather.com 2016 Kickoff News

por The NFLW Team | 09-11-2016 10:00

 

Saludos Fans:

Nuestro newsletter de inicio de temporada sera uno corto esta vez. Primero, NFLWeather.com ahora esta disponible en Español. Podras ver dos banderas en la esquina superior derecha de NFLWeather.com simplemente haz click sobre la bandera del lenguage que prefieras. Por ejemplo, http://www.nflweather.com/es

Segundo, NFLWeather.com Analitica ahora reporta las condiciones al final de cada cuarto. Por ejemplo: el partido del jueves entre los Carolina Panthers y los Denver Broncos.

Tercero, queremos saludar el regreso de nuestro blogger Will Strome quien va a estar dando su vision semana a semana durante la temporada. Sus articulos tambien tienen fotos de USA Today. Su primer post ya esta online: the NFL’s Top Mudders.

Finalmente, la carrera hacia la serie mundial ya esta en curso. Aquellos que siguen el baseball, no dejen de visitar MLBWeather.net

Puedes descargar NFLWeather & Scores desde el Apple’s Appstore o Google Play para Android. Por favor, sigan mandando sus sugerencias y reportes de bugs. Seguiremos mejorando NFLW y MLBW.


NFL 2016 Season Kickoff

por The NFLW Team | 09-07-2016 09:00

 
Superbowl 50 Superbowl 50. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Seven months after hoisting the Lombardi Trophy in Santa Clara, the Denver Broncos will defend their Super Bowl 50 crown against a vengeful Cam Newton and company who will be searching for nothing short of sweet revenge.

According to NFLWeather.com, temperatures will be in the low-80s with humidity lingering around 27% at game time. Wind shouldn’t be much of a factor, topping out around 5 mph, and the likelihood of precipitation is 0% as of Tuesday. However, a light rain and fog is expected to roll through the area Tuesday evening so who knows what could still be hovering around Denver come Thursday’s kickoff on the grass surface of Sports Authority Field at Mile High.

According to NFLWeather.com’s Historical Analytics, The Broncos are rarely bothered by the natural elements, posting a 4-2 record in rainy matchups since 2010 with an offense that averages just under 30 points per game. Over those six games, it’s clear the offensive game plan doesn’t sway towards the run in the rain with quarterbacks dropping back on average almost 32 times per game. That could mean Trevor Siemian, making his first career NFL start, could surprise a few people with a higher number of drop backs than most would expect. Rain or shine, Peyton Manning’s successor shouldn’t be too phased by the elements having played his college ball at Northwestern University, along the windy banks of Lake Michigan. It also doesn’t hurt having aerial weapons such as Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders at your disposal as well as a bruising running back like CJ Anderson to hand off to.

Carolina, 0-2 in the high altitude since 1997, is historically a solid team in bad weather as well. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, the Panthers are 5-1 in weather-related games since 2011 with a defense that only surrenders 17.3 points per game. But all eyes will be on Newton who averages at least one touchdown and one turnover in every outing where weather is a factor. Against a stout Denver defense that was third best in the league last year against the run (83.6 yards against per game); the Panthers will need tight end/security blanket Greg Olsen to cause some problems between the hashes and highly-touted wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin, who missed all of last season, to create some plays downfield. Jonathan Stewart will be the workhorse in the backfield both this game and the entirety of the 2016 campaign.

Back in 2014, Denver had home games week one and two, and while the first game was not impacted by weather, the second game against Kansas City featured a downpour. Here’s to hoping we see some unexpected conditions for Thursday’s anticipated Super Bowl rematch to ignite the NFL season.


The NFL’s TOP MUDDERS for 2016

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 08-24-2016 14:00

 

1. Eddie Lacy, Green Bay Packers

Eddie Lacy Eddie Lacy. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Spearheading the punishing Packers’ ground game is former Heisman Trophy winner Eddie Lacy. Entering his fourth season, Lacy has established himself as the ideal short-yardage and goal line rusher in the NFL…when he’s healthy, that is. Despite battling nagging injuries, Lacy still averaged over 4.0 yards per carry in 2015 but only found the end zone three times, a career-low.
But in poor weather match-ups when Lacy is healthy, Lacy is a battering ram. In six career weather-impacted match-ups, he’s rushed for 593 yards on 114 touches and seven touchdowns. Last year alone in a pair of rain games, the former University of Alabama running back averaged over 114 yards on 20 carries per game (roughly 5.7 yards per carry). Green Bay is 3-0 in poor weather when Lacy doesn’t cough up the pill.
Eddie Lacy will likely have a handful of weather-impacted match-ups to look forward to this season with three December home games at the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field, a trip to Chicago in mid-December, and if hurricane season hits Florida in early September, know that Green Bay opens the season at Jacksonville. According to NFLWeather.com, Green Bay has hosted six poor weather games since 2012. For 2016, Eddie Lacy leads the Pack and is #1 on NFLWeather.com’s list of the NFL’s Top Mudders.

 

 

2. Jamaal Charles, Kansas City Chiefs

 

 

Jamaal Charles Jamaal Charles. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Yet another top tier running back that can’t seem to stay healthy for a full season, Jamaal Charles will continue to be the top ball carrier in Andy Reid’s rushing attack. However for the first time in a long time, he’ll have some competition from Charcandrick West and Spencer Ware, who shined in damp and dreary weather conditions during Charles’ absence last season.
Heading into 2015, Charles was arguably the best all-purpose rusher in the rain, averaging roughly 6.6 yards per carry when the weather took a turn for the worse. But a groin injury last season allowed West and Ware to platoon at RB in KC’s pair of weather-impacted matchups. With Charles sidelined for both rain games, West and Ware combined for 220 yards on 37 touches (almost 6.0 ypc) and zero fumbles.
With the versatility of weapons in the KC backfield, it’s no surprise that the Chiefs had the sixth-best rushing attack in the league and were tied with Carolina and Buffalo for most rushing TD’s in 2015. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Kansas City has averaged at least two poor weather match-ups a season. That trend should continue with a trio of December home games and a late-November divisional matchup at Mile High Stadium in Denver.

 

 

3. Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders

 

 

Latavius Murray Latavius Murray. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Despite only competing in three career weather-related games, the former sixth-round draft pick has already asserted himself as a premier back in lousy weather. Murray had the third-most carries in the league last season for the Raiders, 266, and the team has already indicated in multiple press conference interviews that that number could easily rise this season. So when Oakland gets hit with a gameday downpour, Murray will be the go-to option both early and often.
In his last two weather-impacted games, not only are the Raiders 2-0, but, Murray racked up 166 yards on only 26 carries (almost 6.4 ypc) and two touchdowns. One thing that Murray doesn’t have, that most other RB’s on this list do have, is experienced and reliable depth behind him (Marcel Reece is suspended for first three games of this season). With this being the case, Murray will absolutely dominate the workload and when conditions heavily damper the passing game, he’ll be relied upon even more so in all offensive situations. With a road game against the Broncos slated for New Year’s Day in Denver, hopefully we’ll see what he can do in the snow as well. In 2016, Latavius Murray jumps up to #3 on our list of the NFL’s Top Mudders.

 

 

 

4. Matt Forte, New York Jets

 

 

 

A staple in the Chicago offense for almost a decade, Matt Forte has finally moved from the Windy City, landing in the Big Apple. Both the Bears and Jets were top-10 teams in the league in '15 in rushing attempts so he’s basically transitioning from one run-heavy scheme to another. Despite missing a handful of games last season due to injury, Forte still accumulated over 200 carries for the eighth consecutive season, making him an ideal lead back for New York’s weakened rushing attack, following the departure of Chris Ivory.
Over the last three seasons, the 30-year-old veteran has featured in five weather-impacted matchups with the Bears posting a 5-0 record. Since 2013, Forte has rushed for 467 yards on 107 carries and two TD’s in those games.
According to NFLWeather.com, the Jets have played in five weather impacted games since 2012 meaning there’s a great chance he’ll partake in a snow or rain game at some point in '16. The Jets travel to Buffalo on New Year’s Day (last year the heavy snow in upstate New York forced the league to move this matchup to Detroit) and head to New England the week prior. The Jets host the Patriots at 8:30pm in late November and Indianapolis the following week for another frigid primetime kickoff.

 

 

5. Todd Gurley, Los Angeles Rams

 

 

A wildcard to make the list, having played all his home games in a dome last season, but the second-year star out of Georgia really made a case for himself last season in the rain against the league’s top rushing defense. At Seattle, in a downpour during his rookie season, Gurley rushed for 85 yards on 19 carries and a touchdown against the Legion of Boom who didn’t allow a single 100-yard rusher during the regular season. The statistics might not seem like much, but any back that averages over 4.0 ypc against that particular front seven is genuinely impressive.
Gurley is in an ideal situation with the Rams right now, a team that ranked seventh in rushing a year ago. Even though last year was his rookie campaign, the Rams turned Gurley into a workhorse as he finished the season ninth in the league in touches, 229. With first overall-pick Jared Goff likely to take over the reins at some point this season, there’s no reason why Gurley won’t see even more touches than the year before to alleviate the pressure on the rookie QB.
While Los Angeles weather updates often consist of smog reports, Gurley will get plenty of opportunities to showcase himself in weather related games this season. A cross country trip to New England in early-December and followed by a visit to rainy Seattle two weeks later. places Todd Gurley at #5 on NFLWeather.com's list of the NFL’s Top Mudders.


PEYTON MANNING’s LAST STAND and the WEATHER FORECAST for SUPERBOWL 50

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 02-04-2016 16:00

 

It’s the most celebrated sporting event in America and for only the 5th time in its 50 year history, the Super Bowl may be marred by rain. Levi Stadium in Santa Clara is located on San Francisco Bay, not far from the Santa Cruz Mountains and the southern tip of the Pacific NorthWest Rain Forest.

According to NFLWeather.com, partly cloudy skies are expected to be hovering over Levi’s Stadium with temperatures in the mid-60s come kickoff. But, Bay Area locals are well aware of just how unpredictable Mother Nature can be this time of year, especially with El Niño lingering offshore. Inconsistent scattered showers have been off and on over the last few weeks which could cause problems for the stadium’s most recent addition, a Bermuda grass hybrid surface.

Peyton Manning Peyton Manning. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Since the stadium opened in 2014, Levi’s Stadium has yet to host a rain game but players and coaches have been moaning about the awful playing surface since day one. However, the surface on Super Bowl Sunday will not be the same sod used during the regular season. In fact, the league replaces the playing surface each time the big game is played on natural grass, according to an ESPN report.

Weather has been a factor in only a limited number of Super Bowl matchups but none more memorable than in 2007 when the endless rain poured on the Indianapolis Colts and Chicago Bears in Miami, FL. Ironically, this muddy matchup was the single game that ensured Peyton Manning’s legacy amongst the league’s most elite quarterbacks following his gutsy performance in a downpour.

Since joining Denver, Manning is 3-1 in rain games and averages just fewer than three passing touchdowns per game with a completion percentage of over 70%. A rainy day doesn’t seem to have an impact on the Broncos offensive play calling with Manning dropping back over 33 times and racking up over 250 yards on average each outing. He’s throwing fewer long balls and more short out patterns these days, a combination that Bill Belichick and Tom Brady have near perfected in any weather.

According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Denver is 3-0 in rain games when Manning avoids throwing an interception. Not that a turnover will cost Manning and the Broncos a championship, having tossed a pick in Super Bowl XLI and still managed to down the Bears, 29-17, and return to Indianapolis with both the Lombardi trophy and the Super Bowl MVP honor.

Like Manning’s passing stats, his receiver’s production hasn’t been deterred by the elements either. Over the last two seasons, Demaryius Thomas averages over 12 targets in the rain with Emmanuel Sanders targeted over 10 times per game. Whether it’s a drizzle or a downpour, Thomas and Sanders will be relied upon heavily to alleviate the pressure on Denver’s rushing attack.

Cam Newton Cam Newton. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Even though the Broncos pass extremely well in the rain, the team’s zone blocking scheme creates glaring issues for the opposing defense as well. In the rain, Denver running backs average over 30 touches and well over 130 yards per game. Since 2012, the RBs have found the end zone eight times in six games. CJ Anderson, who rushed for 113 yards on 15 carries and two scores against New England in the snow, will be the lead back with Ronnie Hillman receiving a handful of touches as well.

Offensively in the rain, the Carolina Panthers don’t quite put up the impressive numbers as Denver does (Denver averages 29.6 while Carolina averages 18.5) but the defense more than makes up for it. The Panthers surrender just over 17 points per game in the rain and have allowed 20 or more only once since 2011.

But against Denver’s solid front seven, Carolina will need Cam Newton to give them a Superman-like performance if they want the Super Bowl trophy. In Newton’s most recent weather related matchup, the former Heisman winner bounced back from two turnovers and responded by completing 16-of-35 attempts for 248 yards and two scores en route to a 29-26 overtime win over the Colts.

Over the course of his six career weather-impacted professional outings, Newton is 5-1 and found the end zone in every rain game. However, in those six matchups Newton turned the ball over eight times, five of which were interceptions.

Surprisingly when the weather gets ugly, Newton doesn’t tuck any more often than he usually does. This season he averaged over eight carries a game but since his rookie season, Newton tallies roughly six carries a game in the rain. Not that the Panthers will need production from Newton on the ground, having the league’s top rushing attack averaging 148ypg, but it wouldn’t hurt and will definitely force Denver to respect the run and play eight in the box at all times.

The lead dog responsible for Carolina’s unstoppable ground game all season has been veteran Jonathan Stewart. Despite racking up only three 100-yard performances all season, he’ll be relied upon heavily if a torrential downpour hits the Bay.

Another key component for Carolina is Newton’s security blanket, tight end Greg Olsen. In rain games, Olsen averages nine targets a game and hauls in over five. This matchup could be crucial since Denver is notorious for allowing tight ends to put up solid offensive numbers in the rain. In six rain games, while opposing tight ends get targeted almost 10 times per matchup, the Denver defense has surrendered five touchdowns.

It’s too easy to assume that rain forces teams to hone in on the ground game and abandon the passing attack. If winds kick up, that could be the case. But don’t expect that a little rain will slow down these two high octane offenses. It’s a given that defenders will slip and passes will be dropped, but don’t think for a second that the tenacity and passion we’ve seen in previous Super Bowls will be compromised.

This damp Super Bowl will end one of two ways. We’ll either see a fairytale ending for arguably the greatest QB in NFL history, or we’ll witness a changing of the guard from the successful and wily veteran to the exciting young maverick. Either way, it’s going to rain on someone’s Super Bowl parade, come Sunday night.



Old Time Football: Steelers vs Bengals

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 01-07-2016 08:00

 
Steelers at Bengals Steelers at Bengals. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Ten years ago, Pittsburgh snuck into the playoffs and stormed into Cincinnati as the six-seed and stunned the Bengals. Here we are in 2016 and little has changed, aside from the weather.

According to NFLWeather.com, temperatures will be in the mid-40s but rain will be lingering in southwestern Ohio. Wind shouldn’t be too much of a factor, roughly 7-10 mph, but the rain is expected to start Friday and roll through Sunday.

When these two fierce AFC North division rivals square off on Saturday night, a damp and dreary night will be in full force in Cincy. Despite not playing in a rain game all season, the Bengals have had to prepare on a handful of potential poor weather matchups including an early season matchup at home against the Seahawks and again in late November with the Rams.

The last time the AFC North champions played in a legitimate rain game at home was a 13-6 dogfight against the New England Patriots. That was back in October of 2013 and the Bengals weren’t starting a backup quarterback. As Andy Dalton continues to watch from the sidelines, backup AJ McCarron is expected to be under center for the Wildcard matchup.

During the rain game win over N.E., the Bengals (12-4) defense rose to the occasion and held Tom Brady to only 18 completions of his 38 attempts, forced an interception and sacked him four times. Against the run, the defensive unit was equally as stout, holding the Pats ground game to 82 yards.

Shutting down the high-powered Pats offense was crucial, but out-possessing NE by 10 minutes and rushing for over 160 on almost 40 attempts was the blueprint to victory. If Cincinnati has any chance of getting the monkey off their back, they’ll need to stick to the same formula. Despite not having an elite passing defense, they more than make up for it with a solid front seven that holds its opposition to 92.3 rushing yards per game.

Unlike Cincy, who has avoided weather-related games over the last few seasons, Pittsburgh (10-6) has played in almost a dozen over the last three seasons. According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, Pittsburgh is 8-2 in rains games since 2012 but 0-1 this season.

The loss came in week one on the road in New England where the Pats put on a passing clinic through much of the first half. By the time the Steelers could muster any sort of offense, the game was well out of hand.

But in the rain, Pittsburgh is notoriously a tough team to beat. Defensively, the team surrenders on average roughly 20 points per game and held the opposition to 14 points or less on five separate occasions when the weather takes a turn for the worse.

Offensively, Ben Roethlisberger puts up favorable numbers despite the natural elements. Only once in 10 rain games has Big Ben not thrown a touchdown pass. The same goes for Antonio Brown who, in weather impacted matchups, averages over 10 targets per games.

The only glaring issue with the Pittsburgh offense is the potential to be without DeAngelo Williams who has been carrying the ground game since Le’Veon Bell suffered a season-ending injury. Fitzgerald Toussaint will be the starting running back which reminds Steelers fans of the Wildcard loss a year ago against Baltimore where an inexperienced backfield was unable to establish any sort of ground game.

If the Cincinnati defense can’t slow down the Steelers, it’s safe to assume that neither will the rain. This matchup has upset written all over it which won’t bode well for the Bengals’ faithful who may have to wait another long season to finally get over that playoff hump.


WInd and rain in Paul Brown Stadium

por The NFLW Team | 01-05-2016 20:00

 
Antonio Brown Antonio Brown. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Get ready for some old time football as Antonio Brown and the Pittsburgh Steelers knock helmets against the Cincinnati Bengals Saturday Night in the wind and rain at Paul Brown Stadium. For Details, see http://www.nflweather.com/game/2015/wildcard-weekend/steelers-at-bengals.


Prepping for a Patriots and Panthers Super Bowl

por The NFLW Team | 12-27-2015 08:00

 
Cam Newton Cam Newton.

There are still a few games left in the regular season and while we're not ones to count our chickens before they hatch, we're already dreaming of potential Super Bowl match-ups. There's one possibility that we're particularly excited about and that would be a rematch of the New England Patriots and the Carolina Panthers. Both teams are playing terrific football this year, and if the two were to meet up in the big game, the real winners would be sports fans.

Fair weather fans will find themselves in luck for Super Bowl 50 if they're looking forward to nice weather on game day. The championship will be played at San Francisco's Levi's Stadium where it hasn't rained for the past 18 games . However, it is important to bear in mind that January and February are the rainy season for the northern part of California so it might not be a bad idea to pack a poncho should you head out.

According to NFLWeather.com NFLWeather.com, the Panthers have only had to play one rain game so far this season. Also, all of the team's closest games that have been won by less than a touchdown have occurred when it was either overcast or raining. Overcast skies are currently predicted for the Panthers upcoming game against the Atlanta Falcons (which won’t matter in the Georgia Dome , which could turn out to be one of the toughest challenges to its perfect season yet.

Carolina and New England previously met in the Panthers' only Super Bowl appearance back in 2004 in what is largely considered to be one of the better played and more exciting Super Bowls in recent memory. That's not even counting the additional frenzy caused by a certain "wardrobe malfunction" that took place during the halftime show of Justin Timberlake and Janet Jackson. While halftime won't have nearly the same amount of fireworks with Coldplay scheduled to perform, the game has the potential to be just as good as both squads are arguably among the best either franchise has ever put on the field.

Patriots New England Patriots. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

Panthers quarterback Cam Newton is staking his claim for league MVP and has helped lead the Panthers to a franchise best 12-0 start. Meanwhile the Patriots continue to do what the Patriots do, win with clinical efficiency. Although, the effectiveness of the New England offense has been greatly hindered by injuries to star tight-end Rob Gronkowski and wide receiver Julian Edelman.

As of right now, the two teams are co-favorites to win the Super Bowl, though we'd have to give the edge to the currently undefeated Carolina Panthers. By this point in the season, the Panthers have proven that their success is much more than just a fluke. Also, Newton's performances have only continued to improve in the clutch. Whether rain or shine, the Panthers have been able to weather all comers regardless of conditions. If nothing else, that fact proves the drive and versatility of this dynamic offense. The quarterback put up his best performance of the year in a barnstormer against New Orleans where he threw for 5 touchdowns in a 41-38 victory.

According to Bwin News, the Patriots lost the last two Super Bowls that they were favored to win (Super Bowl XLII and Super Bowl XLIV) and generally perform better as underdogs or slight favorites (7 or fewer points). So in a bizarre twist of fate, Carolina's success could work in New England's favor. In last year's Super Bowl against the Seattle Seahawks, the choice of which teams was the favorite was a toss-up. And sure enough, it was a close match that the Pats won 28-24. It was also played in a dome, which meant the weather wasn't a factor. That being said, it's clear from the Pats' past few seasons that, rain or shine (or snow!), they tend to win.

The Patriots will desperately need all the offensive weapons they can get if they want a chance of home field advantage for this year's playoffs. As of this writing, both safety Patrick Chung and Rob Gronkowski have returned to practice (the latter sporting a knee brace), which definitely bodes well for New England's chances going forward. Edelman is expected to return by the end of the regular season, as is Danny Amendola (aka Edelman lite), but we'll have to wait and see if that will be in time to help the team. Meanwhile if the Panther's can remain healthy, there's no reason not to expect them to keep pounding all the way to Super Bowl 50. The largest variable will be the weather at Levi Stadium Santa Clara which is located on San Francisco bay at the Southern Top of the Pacific Northwest rainforest. There could very well be a February downpour similar to the one the Bay Area just experienced in this El Nino year. But on the bright side, if it’s raining in the Bay Area, its snowing in Lake Tahoe. Bring your BBQs, rain coats and your skis.


 
Richard Sherman Richard Sherman. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

The Rain City won’t exactly have monsoon-like conditions on Sunday when the surging Seattle Seahawks host the Cleveland Browns but wind and rain will certainly be in full force in the Pacific Northwest all weekend.

According to NFLWeather.com, the field turf inside CenturyLink Field will be slick with rain forecasted to hit the area hard Sunday and the days leading up to the non-conference matchup. Temperatures will be in the mid to low-40s with southwest wind gusts in the 8-10 mph range. See NFLWeather.com for further details.

Last year during the pregame warmups of the NFC Championship game, a torrential downpour engulfed Seattle’s stadium but simmered down as game time approached. Sunday’s conditions won’t be quite as harsh, but, the elements will certainly play a predominant role in the outcome of this mid-December matchup as the ‘Hawks enter the game with a flawless 8-0 record in weather-related games since 2012.

Legion of Boom aside, the biggest difference maker in Seattle’s rain game unbeaten run has been their dominant control of the ground game. The Seahawks greatest weather game weapon, Marshawn Lynch, may or may not play again this season which is extremely unfortunate because Lynch has 15 touchdowns and averages over 110 yards a game.

But even when Beast Mode is sidelined, the Seattle (8-5) rushing attack still thrives. Over the last three seasons in poor weather conditions, the ‘Hawks offense averages just under 200 rushing yards a game. But without the RB tandem of Lynch and Thomas Rawls (also on IR), former Buffalo Bills RBs Bryce Brown will get the start with Fred Jackson slated to be the third down back. Both backs are very familiar with awful playing conditions, having braved the Buffalo winters over the last few seasons.

Russell Wilson has also been a dangerous duel threat outside of the tackle box and already has one 100-yard rushing rain game performance under his belt. As for the passing attack, Wilson averages 22 drop backs in his eight career weather impacted outings but has 11 turnovers as well. He does a phenomenal job of utilizing all his offensive weapons, in turn, over eight games the ‘Hawks have only had two 100-yard receivers.

Cleveland (3-10) in the rain, however, is predictable and unimpressive with a 2-3 rain game record since 2012. Offensively, the team has put up 30+ points in two of its last three weather impacted matchups but over a five-game span the Browns average roughly 18 points per game.

According to NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, only once in five rain games have the Browns had a running back surpass 100 yards which spells trouble for an offense led by the shaky rookie, Johnny Manziel. The Browns can’t honestly believe that Manziel will beat the ‘Hawks in front of the 12th Man so the pressure is really on the offensive line and the one-two Cleveland punch featuring Isaiah Crowell and Duke Johnson Jr. to control the clock. Most importantly, keeping the high-octane Seattle offense at bay that averages 34 points per rain game. Will be key for the Browns. Of course if they lose, the consolation prize is taking the lead for the 2016 first draft pick.

With a bruising ground game and a solid defensive unit that seems to be getting better by the week, the only foreseeable way the ‘Hawks don’t soar past the Browns is a Manziel miracle in a monsoon. Unfortunately for the Cleveland faithful, that’s about as unlikely as the Browns not selecting a bust in the first round of the NFL draft.


Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers: Will It Rain on Romo’s Return?

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 12-12-2015 16:00

 

The cruel Wisconsin winter will show it’s frigid form with relentless rain on Sunday when the NFC Eastern contending Dallas Cowboys travel to Green Bay with high hopes of downing the Packers. According to NFLWeather.com, 14 mph winds will be a major concern for the kicking game with a relentless rain expected to linger all afternoon. Lambeau’s Desso Grassmaster surface will be put to the ultimate test, especially if temperatures drop. Come kickoff, temperatures should be low-50s but a late afternoon kickoff will result in a frigid second half.

Tony Romo Tony Romo. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

At the top of the NFC North is Green Bay (8-4), a team that’s already lost one rain game at home this season. On Thanksgiving against heated-rival Chicago, turnovers and missed opportunities lead to a major upset. Aaron Rodgers completed 22-of-43 attempts for 202 yards, a touchdown and an interception but it certainly didn’t help the passing game that Davante Adams only hauled in two of his 11 targets. Aside from his fumble, Eddie Lacy had a solid performance with 17 touches for 105 yards and a score. But the Rodgers pick and the Lacy fumble were ultimately too detrimental to overcome.

We all remember from Deflate-gate that in colder and damp conditions quarterbacks like their footballs with slightly less air. If the nonstop downpour turns to freezing rain, both quarterbacks will have major issues with their grip and release. According to the NFLWeather.com Historical Analytics, both teams over the last four years have played in a combined 10 rain games and only once has either side had less than 20 passing attempts. Clearly neither offense allows Mother Nature to dictate when and how often the play calling commands for an aerial assault.

Since the 2011 season, Dallas (4-8) averages over 32 passing attempts per rain game. Tony Romo has been under center for all of them but Sunday’s starter will once again be veteran Matt Cassel whose last start on the road in the rain was back in 2012. Back then, Cassel was with Kansas City and his Chiefs lost a 16-13 overtime heartbreaker to Pittsburgh. He finished the afternoon 11/26 for 154 yards and one interception.

The Cowboys are 2-2 in rain games since 2011 but 0-2 against NFC opposition. Green Bay has played in six rain games since 2012 with three different starting quarterbacks, posting a 3-3 record. With Rodgers, the Pack are 2-1 with the lone loss coming against Chicago on Turkey Day.

But it’s the Green Bay ground game that routinely determines a Packers win or loss in weather impacted matchups. When Eddie Lacy and James Starks combine for 25 touches or more, the team is 3-1. Lacy is an ideal back for weather-related games because of his bruising running style, especially between the tackles. He averages over 75 yards per game in the rain and a touchdown.

Like GB, if the Dallas rushing attack gets 30 carries or more, then the Cowboys are 2-0. Against Miami in the Cowboys’ lone rain game victory (24-14) of 2015, the team rushed for 166 yards with Darren McFadden accounting for 129 on 29 touches.

During the downpour on Sunday, even though both sides will likely drop back at least 20 times or more, limiting turnovers will be crucial but an absent ground game will without a doubt result in a loss.


Wash-out Expected for Dolphins & Ravens Play-In Game

por Will Strome, Columnist, NFLWeather.com | 12-05-2015 08:00

 

It’s a make or break matchup for both the Miami Dolphins and Baltimore Ravens when the two wildcard hopefuls go head-to-head in a soggy Sun Life Stadium on Sunday. Despite firing head coach Joe Philbin weeks ago, Miami’s wildcard hopes are, surprisingly, very much alive. What’s not surprising are the Floridian rain storms expected to hit south Florida all weekend, just in time for a pivotal matchup against the Ravens on the exact same “in the hunt” boat as the ‘Phins.

According to NFLWeather.com, 20 mph winds will be swirling around the grass surface stadium with light rains rolling through south Florida. Thunderstorms are expected to hit the area on Friday and Saturday so the grass surface should be an absolute disaster.

Ryan Tannehill Ryan Tannehill. Photo courtesy of USA Today.

But this is all familiar territory for a Dolphins side that has expected and had to prep for rain prior to a handful of their regular season matchups thus far. Miami (4-7) has played in three weather-related games this season and almost had a fourth when east coast rain storms narrowly avoided the team’s divisional matchup in New York against the Jets.

This season alone, Miami is 1-2 in the rain and a dismal 1-5 since 2012. It’s glaringly apparent that the Dolphins struggle to run the ball when Mother Nature takes a turn for the worse. In three games this season, Lamar Miller averages only 43 yards per game but has two rushing scores and caught a TD.

Ryan Tannehill hasn’t exactly been stellar in rain games this season with two turnovers but he does a solid job of utilizing all of his offensive options. The top receiving option for Tannehill in the rain has changed from game to game which makes it very difficult for the defense to focus on one specific threat. Jarvis Landry is the most dangerous receiver but Rishard Matthews, Jordan Cameron and even Lamar Miller could see a lot of looks.

Baltimore (4-7) hasn’t played in a weather impacted game since 2013 and only 1-2 in the rain since 2012. Poor weather certainly doesn’t deter Baltimore from taking to the air but things could be very different on Sunday without starting QB Joe Flacco. In his three rain games, Flacco has averaged over 42 passing attempts but at least one interception in each outing. Former Viriginia Cavalier and Houston Texan Matt Schaub will be the starter for the second straight week.

In the rain, it’s clear the Baltimore passing attack prefers tight ends over any other wide out target. In two of the three weather games, Dennis Pitta (injured all of 2015) has seen the most targets with a seven reception for 125 yards and two TD performance back in 2012 and six grabs for 48 yards and a score in 2013.

Like Miami, Baltimore struggles to establish the ground game. With Justin Forsett done for the year, the bulk of the carries will be going to straight to Javorious Allen who will be making his professional rain game debut. But if Baltimore can’t get something going on the ground early, then the fate of Baltimore’s potential postseason berth lies in the arm of Matt Schaub.



 
 
 
 
 
 

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